Simona Halep vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
|Date & Time||Tuesday May 28, 2019, 8:30 AM (EDT)|
Roland Garros Stadium
The Line: Tomljanovic +455 / Halep -550 -- Over/Under:
Simona Halep and Ajla Tomljanovic meet in the first round of the 2019 tennis French Open.
Simona Halep has lost four of her last five sets, but she should have a boost of energy given that she’s the defending champion of the French Open and has made the final in three of the last five years. This is easily Halep’s most successful grand slam out of the four with a 75 percent winning percentage. Currently the favorite to win the title, Halep should be feeling good about herself despite the recent hiccups. With that said, the past has shown that it doesn’t take much for Halep to unravel and experience an early exit because she allowed a bad point or two turn into a poor set. Halep has lost in the first round of a grand slam twice since 2017. Halep has won five of her last seven matches on clay court.
Ajla Tomljanovic has been hit or miss pretty much all season long, and she enters this tournament splitting her last 10 matches. Tomljanovic is coming off a performance in Germany where she got just 47 percent of her first serves in play, had six double faults and was broken four times. If Tomljanovic isn’t going to improve on those numbers, she has zero chance of surviving her opening match. To make matters worse, Tomljanovic hasn’t beaten a top-50 player since her win over Aryna Sabalenka in the Miami Open. Tomljanovic hopes to make it to the second round of a grand slam for the third time since 2016. Tomljanovic has two career wins over top-10 players, with one of those wins coming this year. Tomljanovic has split her last four matches on clay court.
These two have played once, which was in 2018 Cincinnati, a match Halep won in three sets. The match was decided in 28 games.
Tomljanovic hasn’t come close to beating a quality player in months and had a brutal serving performance the last time we saw her. Halep can always be an interesting play due the mental barriers she must overcome, but she usually brings it in the early matches. Being the defending champ and the odds favorite to repeat, Halep should have a little less pressure and be allowed to play a little loose with the monkey off her back.
I’ll take Halep in straight sets.