Simona Halep vs. Cori Gauff 7/8/19 Wimbledon Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Simona Halep vs. Cori Gauff
Monday, July 8, 2019 at 8:30 AM (All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club)
The Line: Gauff +353 / Halep -423 -- Over/Under: 20
TV: ESPN, ESPN2
Simona Halep and Cori Gauff meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Simona Halep is coming off a straight sets win over Victoria Azarenka that took 16 games to decide. In the victory, Halep won 67 percent of her first serve points and 67 percent of her second serve points. Halep won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her eight break points. Halep got 59 percent of her first serves in play, saved six of her seven break points and had just nine unforced errors. Halep has won six of her seven sets this tournament is coming off by far her cleanest performance yet. If Halep can bump her first serve percentage just a tad, she has to like her chances against anybody in this field. Halep hopes to make her 13th career grand slam quarterfinal and fourth ever at Wimbledon. Halep is 12-3 in career grand slam fourth round matches. Halep has won five of her last six matches on grass court.
Cori Gauff is coming off a three sets win over Polona Hercog that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Gauff won 67 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Gauff won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her five break points. Gauff got 71 percent of her first serves in play, saved four of her eight break points and hit 24 winners. We knew Gauff was poised and ahead of her time in terms of composure, but she showed she can overcome adversity as well, winning a match despite being down a set and a break and facing match points. There was even a point in the match where Gauff thought the match was over, and she was still able to regroup and find a way to prevail. Gauff now looks for her first grand slam quarterfinal trip and her first win over a top-10 player. Gauff has won nine of her last 10 matches on grass court.
There’s no match history between these two players.
There’s no doubt Halep should be favored, as she’s a grand slam champion and one of the best players in the world. This is a completely different beast than Gauff has faced up to this point and Halep won’t let go of a lead or keep that window open for long the way past opponents have. As well as Gauff has played, she has gotten help from silly errors and nerves from her opponents. Gauff must clean up the unforced errors and keep scoreboard pressure to have any shot here. Halep is the safe pick, and she wins this match as long as unforced errors don’t takeover. With that said, grass isn’t Halep’s best surface and she does have a lot of losses to players she probably shouldn’t have lost to. Let’s not act like Halep hasn’t picked up a reputation for choking, and those hiccups usually come out of nowhere. Gauff can hit with Halep and she’s going to have the crowd on her side, as London has clearly adopted her like she’s one of their own. The crowd is rooting for the story.
In terms of the price and Halep’s ability to allow matches to slip through her fingers, I’ll take a chance with Gauff and the heavy plus money.