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Simona Halep vs. Kiki Bertens 5/11/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Simona Halep vs. Kiki Bertens
Date & Time Saturday May 11, 2019, 12:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Park Manzanares
Madrid, Spain
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Simona Halep and Kiki Bertens meet in the final of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.

Simona Halep is coming off a three sets win over Belinda Bencic that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Halep won 63 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Halep won 59 percent of her total service points and converted on eight of her 13 break points. Halep got 71 percent of her first serves in play and lost a combined two games in the two sets she won. If Halep is going to have this much success with her serve, she’s going to win the title, as we know what she brings with her athleticism and return ability. Halep has now won seven of her last 11 matches that have gone the distance. Halep looks to win her first title since last years Canadian Open and the 19th title of her career. Halep has lost eight of her last 11 final appearances overall and is 7-8 in final appearances on clay. Halep looks for her fourth career Premier Mandatory title and hopes to win the Madrid Open for the third time in the last four years. Halep has won each of her last 12 matches on clay court.

Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Sloane Stephens that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 64 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 62 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her 10 break points. Bertens got 55 percent of hr first serves in play and saved eight of her nine break points. Bertens has won all 10 of her sets this tournament and is hitting the ball with great pace to put lots of pressure on her opponent. Bertens looks to win her second title of the year and the ninth title of her career. Bertens has won six of her last seven final appearances overall and is 5-2 in final appearances on clay. Bertens has never won a Premier Mandatory title and is 0-1 in previous final appearances. Bertens has won eight of her last nine matches on clay court.

These two have split the previous four matches with Bertens winning the most recent match in Cincinnati last year. They’ve also split the two meetings on clay. Three of the four matches were decided in straight sets.

I have a hard time siding with Halep in final appearances given her reputation for choking. Halep can dominate her way to the final, but she has a history of coming up small when it really counts. I always say I’m done backing her in finals until she proves she can turn it around. With that said, I’m siding with Halep, who has won 12 straight matches on clay and has won this tournament twice already. Bertens left the door open a lot in her semifinal match, and Halep will take advantage of those break points that Stephens didn't. 

Nothing surprises me anymore with Halep in final appearances, but she gets the job done here if she plays the way she has all tournament.

Pick:
Simona Halep

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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