Simona Halep vs. Victoria Azarenka 7/5/19 Wimbledon Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Simona Halep vs. Victoria Azarenka
Friday, July 5, 2019 at 9:00 AM (All England Lawn Tennis & Croquet Club)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV: ESPN, ESPN2
Simona Halep and Victoria Azarenka meet in the third round of the 2019 tennis Wimbledon.
Simona Halep is coming off a three sets win over Mihaela Buzarnescu that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Halep won 54 percent of her first serve points and 46 percent of her second serve points. Halep won 51 percent of her total service points and converted on nine of her 14 break points. Halep got 68 percent of her first serves in play and saved three of her nine break points. Halep obviously has to play much better if she’s going to make a deep run this tournament, but we must give her credit for winning a match she has a history of losing. There’s been many times where Halep has fallen apart when tested, and she found a way to prevail in the second round. Halep hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the seventh time in her last 10 tries. Halep has won four of her last five matches on grass court.
Victoria Azarenka is coming off a straight sets win over Ajla Tomljanovic that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Azarenka won 70 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Azarenka won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 11 break points. Azarenka got 75 percent of her first serves in play and saved three of her four break points. Azarenka has won all four sets this tournament and has saved eight of her 10 break points, as she’s showing more consistent signs of returning to the player she was before her pregnancy. Azarenka has 67 career wins over top-10 players, with three of those wins coming this year. Azarenka hopes to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time since the 2017 Wimbledon. Azarenka has won two of his last three matches on grass court.
These two have split the previous four matches with Halep winning the most recent match in 2017 Wimbledon, the only match on grass. Halep has won the last two meetings, and Azarenka’s last win over the Romanian came in 2012 Linz. Three of the matches were decided in straight sets.
Halep should be favored in this match for obvious reasons, but I’m always hesitant to back her when she’s coming off a poor performance, as it has a history of lingering. If Halep isn’t going to improve her serve, Azarenka, who is playing her best tennis currently since her return, will have a field day with the return and win this match. Azarenka is no longer just getting her feet wet, as she’s competing with some of the best in the world and is starting to look like the player she once was.
I’m not sure if it’s an upset or not, but I give the edge to Azarenka.