Sloane Stephens vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - 01/19/19 WTA Tour - Australian Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Sloane Stephens vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 7:00 PM (Melbourne Park)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV: ESPN, Tennis
Sloane Stephens and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis Australian Open.
Sloane Stephens is coming off a straight sets win over Petra Martic that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Stephens won 66 percent of her first serve points and 42 percent of her second serve points. Stephens grinded out two tight tiebreaks to advance, as she hit 34 winners and 19 unforced errors. The match lasted a little over two hours and there were a ton of long rallies. Stephens has yet to drop a set this tournament, but her last match certainly took a toll on her physically, so the day off will be much needed. Stephens hopes to make a grand slam quarterfinal for the sixth time in her career and her first Australian Open quarterfinal since 2013. Stephens has won six of her last nine matches on hard court.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a straight sets win over Aliaksandra Sasnovich that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 77 percent of her first serve points and 65 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova won the first seven games of her match and had just eight unforced errors. Pavlyuchenkova has played very clean tennis up to this point and has a real shot at a victory if she can repeat her last effort. Pavlyuchenkova looks to win four matches in a single tournament for the first time since winning the Internationaux de Strasbourg last May. Pavlyuchenkova has a chance to make her fifth career grand slam quarterfinal and first since the 2017 Australian Open. Pavlyuchenkova is 4-1 in her career in fourth round grand slam matches. Pavlyuchenkova has won four of her last six matches on hard court.
These two have played twice and Stephens won both meetings. The most recent match was last year in Beijing, a match Stephens won in three sets. The other match was in Washington of 2015, a match Stephens won in straight sets.
Pavlyuchenkova will make this match interesting if she can continue to keep the ball in play and keep the unforced errors under 15. The problem is Pavlyuchenkova doesn’t do anything special that’s going to put fear into Stephens, and she certainly can’t hit with the American. This is a match where Stephens should control majority of the points while having Pavlyuchenkova play defense and doing a whole lot of running. When these two played last year, Stephens broke six times and managed to win despite not serving well herself.
I’ll take Stephens in another straight sets victory.