Sloane Stephens vs. Garbine Muguruza
|Date & Time||Sunday June 2, 2019, 10:30 AM (EDT)|
Roland Garros Stadium
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Sloane Stephens and Garbine Muguruza meet in the fourth round of the 2019 tennis French Open.
Sloane Stephens is coming off a three sets win over Polona Hercog that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Stephens won 61 percent of her first serve points and 59 percent of her second serve points. Stephens won 60 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 20 break points. Stephens managed to get the victory, but she has things to clean up after being broken six times and having 43 unforced errors to 23 winners. It’s good to see Stephens get her first serve in play at a high percentage and give herself 27 break points in her last two matches, but she still has these games here and there where little goes right and you can see the frustration building. Still, Stephens has won 19 of her last 26 sets played. Stephens hopes to make her sixth career grand slam quarterfinal and the second at the French Open. Stephens won seven of her last nine matches on clay court.
Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight sets win over Elina Svitolina that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 61 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza won 55 percent of her total service points and converted on seven of her 13 break points. Muguruza got 55 percent of her first serves in play and saved four of her eight break points. Muguruza had 23 winners to 29 unforced errors and it’s the second time this tournament where her errors have topped 20. Muguruza has a lot of her game working at the moment and the body language is good, but she must clean up those silly mistakes if she’s going to make a run at the title. Muguruza hopes to make her eighth career grand slam quarterfinal and the fifth at the French Open. Muguruza has won five of her last six matches on clay court.
These two have split the previous two matches, as Stephens won 2018 Miami and Muguruza won 2015 Wuhan. Both matches were decided in straight sets.
This is an interesting match considering both players have been so hot and cold all year. Stephens has just found her consistency these last few weeks but still has these odd games where she can’t serve. Muguruza has struggled with unforced errors and while she’s winning, she’s a lot like Halep where a poor match can come out of nowhere and the confidence gets completely shot. Stephens probably has an extra boost of motivation to get back to the final and right a wrong, but Muguruza has a much larger track record on clay and is the type of player who can expose those subpar service games.
I’m iffy on both of these players at the moment, but I’m riding with Muguruza, who should be a top-three favorite right now to win the tournament.