Sloane Stephens vs. Kiki Bertens 5/10/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Sloane Stephens vs. Kiki Bertens
Friday, May 10, 2019 at 1:00 PM (Park Manzanares)
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Sloane Stephens and Kiki Bertens meet in the semifinal of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Sloane Stephens is coming off a straight sets win over Petra Martic that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Stephens won 76 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Stephens won 71 percent of her total service points and converted on three of her nine break points. Stephens got 83 percent of her first serves in play and was broken just once in a victory that took less than an hour and a half. Stephens has now won six straight matches when you include the Fed Cup and four of those wins were decided in straight sets, so it’s clear the American is starting to find her footing and return to the player we’re used to seeing. Stephens hopes to make her first final since last years WTA Finals and the 10th final appearance of her career. Stephens has won six of her last seven matches on clay court.
Kiki Bertens is coming off a straight sets win over Petra Kvitova that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Bertens won 76 percent of her first serve points and 55 percent of her second serve points. Bertens won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her nine break points. Bertens got 59 percent of her first serves in play and saved six of her seven break points, completely dominating one of the hotter players on the women’s side. Bertens has now won all eight sets this tournament and is going to be a legit title threat if she’s going to continue limiting her unforced errors and forcing her opponent to win long rallies. Bertens hopes to make her first final since last years WTA Finals and the 11th final appearance of her career. Bertens has won seven of her last eight matches on clay court.
These two have played twice and Stephens won both matches in three sets. The matches took place in 2018 Singapore and 2013 Rome.
Stephens may own the head to head and is starting to find her footing, but she hasn’t put together a large enough sample size of success to be trustworthy in a match like this. Bertens has been on a roll these past couple of months and just effortlessly beat the one player who was as hot as her. Stephens is playing as well as she has all year, but this run kind of just started and those struggles are still in the back of my mind. I’m just not there yet with Stephens, and I don’t love her game on clay, as she’s more effective on hard court where she can control the pace better.
I like Bertens to make her second final of the year.