Kuznetsov vs. Wawrinka
|Date & Time||Friday May 26, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Wawrinka -310 / Kuznetsov -250 -- Over/Under:
Stan Wawrinka and Andrey Kuznetsov meet Friday in the semifinals of the 2017 Geneva Open.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a three set win over Sam Querrey that took 30 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 81 percent of his first serve points and 51 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka got a much needed victory after some miss and hit play recently, and he showed great fight after dropping the first set. That was the type of match Wawrinka has thrown away this season and folded like a beach chair. Wawrinka has now split his last eight matches overall and would love to use this tournament in his home of Switzerland as a confidence booster heading into the French Open. Wawrinka has a chance to make back-to-back Geneva Open final appearances. Wawrinka has split his last eight matches on clay court.
Andrey Kuznetsov is coming off a three sets win over Cedrik-Marcel Stebe that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Kuznetsov won 71 percent of his first serve points and 43 percent of his second serve points. Kuznetsov is easily enjoying some of his most ATP success of his career and hopes to win his first semifinals match since the 2015 Como Challenger. Kuznetsov has made some decent runs during clay season, but this is easily his biggest test in quite some time. In order to earn the massive upset, Kuznetsov has to be better on his second serve, as winning under 50 percent of those points won't cut it against a player as skilled as Wawrinka. Kuznetsov has a chance to earn his third win over a top-10 player and reach his first career ATP singles final. Kuznetsov has won five of his last six matches on clay court.
These two have played twice in the past with both winning a match. Kuznetsov won in the 2016 Miami Masters while Wawrinka won in the 2016 Indian Wells Masters. Both matches were decided in straight sets. This will obviously be their first meeting on clay.
I’m not sure how much Kuznetsov is going to have left in the tank, as he's played a lot of tennis in this tournament and has a quick turnaround after a three setter against a player ranked outside of the top-300. This is tournament Wawrinka cares about with it being in Switzerland, so the crowd should give him that extra boost if needed. Not to mention he's easily the better player overall. If the motivated Wawrinka shows up, this shouldn't be much of an issue.
Wawrinka should win this match in straight sets.