Stan Wawrinka vs. Daniil Medvedev - 9/3/19 US Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Stan Wawrinka vs. Daniil Medvedev - 9/3/19 US Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Stan Wawrinka vs. Daniil Medvedev

Tuesday, September 3, 2019 at 1:00 PM (USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center)

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Stan Wawrinka and Daniil Medvedev meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis US Open.

Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Novak Djokovic that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 84 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 71 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his seven break points. Wawrinka got 54 percent of his first serves in play and saved four of his five break points until Djokovic retired early in the third set. As usual, Wawrinka seems to be getting stronger this tournament plays out. Wawrinka hopes to make his first grand slam semifinal since the 2017 French Open and the fourth semifinal appearance at the US Open. Wawrinka has won seven of his last nine grand slam quarterfinal matches. Wawrinka has 56 career wins over top-10 players, with four of those wins coming this year. Wawrinka has won five of his last six matches on hard court.

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Daniil Medvedev is coming off a four sets win over Dominik Koepfer that took 39 games to decide. In the victory, Medvedev won 75 percent of his first serve points and 56 percent of his second serve points. Medvedev won 67 percent of his total service points and converted on six of his 10 break points. Medvedev got 56 percent of his first serves in play, saved 10 of 14 break points and hit 15 aces. Medvedev has won each of his last three matches in four sets and continues to pile up the free points with his serve. Medvedev has won four matches in each of his last four tournaments. Medvedev looks to make his first grand slam semifinal. Medvedev has won 10 straight matches on hard court.

These two have played once, which was 2017 Wimbledon, a match Medvedev won in four sets. The match was decided in 36 games.

Medvedev has been an absolute monster on hard court this season and that makes him tough to bet against. However, Wawrinka is one of those players who gets stronger as the tournament plays out, as his shotmaking skills gain more confidence and the unforced error numbers usually start dropping. While Medvedev beat him a couple of years ago, Wawrinka’s power shines a lot more on power where he can control the pace of the point and really push his opponent around.

Fun match and a lot of power shots, but I give Wawrinka the slight edge.

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Randy’s Pick Stan Wawrinka

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.