Tsonga vs. Wawrinka
|Date & Time||Monday January 23, 2017, 9:00 PM (EST)|
The Line: Wawrinka -165 / Tsonga +140 -- Over/Under:
Stan Wawrinka and Jo-Wilfried Tsonga meet in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Australian Open.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Andreas Seppi that took 39 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 80 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka has played tiebreaks in his last four sets and has managed to be on the winning side every time. Wawrinka has dropped 33 aces in his last two matches and has won no less than 73 percent of his first serve points this tournament. As long as Wawrinka can manage his unforced errors and avoid a letdown, he’ll have a good chance to win his second career Australian Open. Wawrinka hopes to make his eighth career grand slam semifinal. Wawrinka has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is coming off a four set win over Daniel Evans that took 41 games to decide. In the victory, Tsonga won 81 percent of his first serve points and 61 percent of his second serve points. Tsonga has played eight sets in his last two matches but is tough to rattle given that he’s won no less than 80 percent of his first serve points this tournament. When you add those serve numbers with Tsonga’s returning ability, he’s proving to be one of the tougher players in the field to eliminate. Tsonga is in his third straight grand slam quarterfinal. Tsonga also hopes to make his seventh career grand slam semifinal and second since the 2014 season. Tsonga has won six of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played seven times in the past and Wawrinka has won four of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2015 French Open, a match Wawrinka won in four sets. Tsonga’s last win over Wawrinka came in the 2013 Monte Carlo Masters, as he’s lost three straight matches. This will be just the second time these two play on hard court.
Wawrinka will be the sexy pick in this matchup, but I give the edge to Tsonga given his return ability. Wawrinka isn’t the best returner and will struggle against Tsonga in that department. The difference is Jo-Wilfried will give himself break chances and should be able to take advantage of Wawrinka’s aggressiveness. I just think Tsonga has been a tad more consistent this tournament and will make less errors in this match.
Give me Tsonga for the minor upset.