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Stan Wawrinka vs. Nick Kyrgios 2/28/19 ATP Tour Mexican Open Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Stan Wawrinka vs. Nick Kyrgios
Date & Time Thursday February 28, 2019, 6:00 PM (EST)
Location
Princess Mundo Imperial
Acapulco, Mexico
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Dan Hamilton-USA TODAY Sports

Stan Wawrinka and Nick Kyrgios meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Mexican Open.

Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Steve Johnson that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 83 percent of his first serve points and 55 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 70 percent of his total service points and saved both of his break points. Wawrinka has won all four sets this tournament and has won six of his last seven matches overall, so he’s clearly showing signs of returning to the player he was before the injury. While Wawrinka can improve his return and clean up the silly errors here and there, his serve is as good as it’s been in quite some time and he has 18 aces this tournament. Wawrinka is starting to get comfortable out there, which is scary for the rest of the field. Wawrinka has won five of his last seven matches on outdoor hard court.

Nick Kyrgios is coming off a three sets win over Rafael Nadal that took 35 games to decide. In the victory, Kyrgios won 82 percent of his first serve points and 45 percent of his second serve points. Kyrgios won 68 percent of his total service points and saved nine of his 10 break points. Kyrgios earned his 16th career win over a top-10 player, and he did so after dropping the first set and fighting off several match points in the final set. It was an overall bizarre performance on both sides and one that you have to give a ton of credit to Kyrgios for staying in things and fighting through it until the very end. The main question now is how much Kyrgios has left in the tank after just playing over three hours of tennis. Kyrgios has split his last six matches on outdoor hard court.

These two have played five times and Wawrinka has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in Toronto of last year, a match Wawrinka won in three sets. With two of the matches ending in retirement, that was the only meeting that went the distance.

Kyrgios is always worth a look given his raw talent and ability to hit through anybody on hard court. The problem is Kyrgios is coming off a three hour performance and was already battling physical issues. Kyrgios had both of his knees wrapped during the match and was battling a stomach problem as well. You have to question if there’s enough in the tank for Kyrgios to put together another performance to beat a top tier player. Kyrgios isn't exactly the strongest minded player to will himself through a tough schedule spot like this one. 

This is set up nicely for Wawrinka to advance to the semifinals in Mexico.

Pick:
Stan Wawrinka

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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