Stan Wawrinka vs. Rafael Nadal 5/10/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Stan Wawrinka vs. Rafael Nadal
Friday, May 10, 2019 at 2:30 PM (Park Manzanares)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Stan Wawrinka and Rafael Nadal meet in the quarterfinal of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.
Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Kei Nishikori that took 22 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 82 percent of his first serve points and 75 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka won 79 percent of his total service points and converted on one of his three break points. Wawrinka is fresh off probably his best win since his return from injury, as he dominated a top-10 player and saved his only break point in the hour and a half victory. Wawrinka seems to be gaining confidence and is much more consistent with his serve, as he has yet to lose a set or be broken in his last three matches. It looks like things are starting to come together for Wawrinka at the moment. Wawrinka has a chance to win four straight matches for the first time since Rotterdam. Wawrinka has won four of his last five matches on clay court.
Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over Frances Tiafoe that took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 88 percent of his first serve points and 67 percent of his second serve points. Nadal won 80 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his four break points. Nadal was absolutely lights out with his serve in the victory and saved his only break point. Nadal has won all four of his sets this tournament and has produced a combined six breaks. After a couple of losses on clay last month, Nadal doesn’t seem to be leaving anything to chance and is doing a better job of attacking the serve. Nadal hopes to win three straight matches for the fourth straight tournament. Nadal has won eight of his last 10 matches on clay court.
These two have played 22 times and Nadal has won 18 of those matches. The most recent meeting was this year in an exhibition tiebreak which Wawrinka won 13-11. Nadal has won each of the last four real matches against Wawrinka. Nadal is 6-1 against Wawrinka on clay. Each of the last eight meetings have been decided in straight sets.
Wawrinka is playing probably his best and most consistent tennis since coming back from injury, and he’s one of those players who gets stronger the longer the tournament goes. However, this is still Nadal on clay court, and you don’t bet against him on this surface. There’s really not much else that needs to be said.
Look for Nadal to make the semifinals.