Stan Wawrinka and Roger Federer meet Tuesday in the quarterfinal of the 2015 French Open.
Stan Wawrinka has dropped just one set in this tournament and is coming off a three-set victory over Gilles Simon. Wawrinka has played just 52 games in his last two matches and has won no less than 70 percent of his first serve points. Wawrinka has hit 66 winners in his last two matches and has hit 24 aces in his last three matches. Wawrinka is moving well and finishes games early, giving him a huge advantage in the fatigue department. The one concern with Wawrinka is that he’s gotten no more than 58 percent of his first serves in play in a single match. Wawrinka looks to reach his fourth career semifinal of a major. Wawrinka has never reached the semifinal of the French Open.
Roger Federer hopes to rebound on short rest after his four-set victory over Gael Monfils. Federer has dropped just one set in this tournament and has played 30 or less games in three of his first four matches. Federer has won 68 percent of better of his first serve points and has hit 79 winners in his last two matches. Federer has gotten at least 61 percent of his first serves in play and has just two double faults all tournament. A concern with Federer is that he does have 34 or more unforced errors in two of his last three matches. Federer looks to reach his eighth French Open semifinal of his career. Federer has made at least the semifinal in three of his last five majors.
These two have played each other 18 times, and Federer has won 16 of those meetings. Federer has won the last three meetings, including the most recent in the 2015 Rome Masters. Wawrinka’s only victories over Federer came in the 2009 and 2014 Monte Carlo Masters. Federer is 4-2 against Wawrinka on clay.
While Federer has owned Wawrinka throughout his career, we’re getting plus money with a focused and rested Stan. Meanwhile, Fed has to play two matches in back-to-back days due to the suspension of his Monfils match.
I’m going with Stan the man in this one.