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Stan Wawrinka vs. Roger Federer 2017 Indian Wells Masters Pick, Odds, Prediction

Game
Federer vs. Wawrinka
Date & Time Sunday March 19, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
ESPN
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Tennis | Federer vs. Wawrinka
USA TODAY Sports

Stan Wawrinka and Roger Federer meet Sunday in the final of the 2017 Indian Wells Masters.

Stan Wawrinka is coming off a straight sets win over Pablo Carreno Busta that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Wawrinka won 80 percent of his first serve points and 76 percent of his second serve points. Wawrinka is coming off his best performance yet in which he didn’t face on break point and needed only an hour to complete the match. When Wawrinka is playing clean tennis and not flooding the match with silly errors, he’s shown he can beat anybody in the world. Wawrinka has also shown the deeper the tournament, the stronger his play gets. Well, here we are. Wawrinka hopes to win his 16th career singles title and first Indian Wells Masters title. Wawrinka is 9-4 in his career in finals on hard court. Wawrinka has won 10 of his last 12 matches on hard court.

Roger Federer is coming off a straight sets win over Jack Sock that took 20 games to decide. In the victory, Federer won 81 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Federer continues to turn back the clock and is now playing for his second title in his last three events. Federer continues to serve at a high percentage and simply pounces on any mistake his opponent makes. Federer should also be well fit for this match given the lack of tennis he’s had to play since Wednesday due to the walkover with Nick Kyrgios. Federer looks for his 90th career singles title and fifth Indian Wells Masters title. Federer is 61-23 in his career in finals on hard court. Federer has won 13 of his last 14 matches on hard court.

These two have played 22 times in the past and Federer has won 19 of those meetings. The most recent match was in this years Australian Open, a match Federer won in five sets. Federer has won the last three meetings against Wawrinka, but two of Stan’s three victories have come since 2014. Federer is 14-0 against Wawrinka on some form of hard court.

It’s really tough to bet against Wawrinka considering he’s proven he can get the job done on the big stage and simply gets better the deeper he goes into a tournament. However, we can’t ignore the fact Wawrinka has never won a match against Federer on hard court. Even with the Australian Open being back-and-forth, Federer still found a way to get the job done. Fourteen hard court matches is a big enough sample size for me.

Give me Federer to win the Indian Wells Masters.

Pick:
Roger Federer

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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