Kevin Anderson vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas
|Date & Time||Thursday October 11, 2018, 7:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Stefanos Tsitsipas and Kevin Anderson meet in the third round of the 2018 tennis Shanghai Masters.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a straight sets win over Karen Khachanov that took 23 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 82 percent of his first serve points and 46 percent of his second serve points. Tsitsipas won 70 percent of his total service points and saved three of his four break points. Tsitsipas won a competitive second set tiebreak to avoid a much longer match and has now won eight of his last 12 sets. Tsitsipas has had some very hit or miss moments the last couple of months, but he’s won four of his last five matches, and he’s been very favorably priced in both of his victories this tournament, including winning his last match as an underdog. Tsitsipas has a chance to win three matches in a single tournament for the first time since Toronto. Tsitsipas has split his last eight matches on hard court.
Kevin Anderson is coming off a straight sets win over Mikhail Kukushkin that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Anderson won 87 percent of his first serve points and 64 percent of his second serve points. Anderson won 80 percent of his total service points and didn’t face a single break point in the victory. Anderson hit 14 aces and actually had terrific success with his return against a player who entered the match hot with his serve. It was the first time Anderson won a straight sets match since the second round of the US Open, so it’s one of his better recent performances. Anderson gives himself a real shot to make a deep run at this event if he can display such balance once again. Anderson has won five of his last seven matches on hard court.
These two have played twice and Tsitsipas has won both matches in three sets. The most recent match was in Toronto of this year, a match Tsitsipas won in 36 games. The other match was in Portugal of this year.
Tsitsipas is worth a look given the fact he’s beaten Anderson twice this year, but he’s been hot and cold the last few months. Anderson is also coming off one of his better performances in a while and had his return working. If that’s the Anderson who is going to show up again, he has a chance to push for a final appearance.
I like Anderson to roll into the quarterfinals.