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Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Rafael Nadal 5/11/19 Madrid Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Stefanos Tsitsipas vs. Rafael Nadal
Date & Time Saturday May 11, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Park Manzanares
Madrid, Spain
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

Stefanos Tsitsipas and Rafael Nadal meet in the semifinal of the 2019 tennis Madrid Open.

Stefanos Tsitsipas is coming off a three sets win over Alexander Zverev that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Tsitsipas won 77 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Tsitsipas won 68 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his eight break points. Tsitsipas got 69 percent of his first serves in play and saved three of his four break points. Tsitsipas has now won 14 of his last 16 sets and has been broken once in each of his last three matches. Tsitsipas hopes to make his fourth final of the year and his seven final appearance of his career. Tsitsipas also has a shot at his second career final appearance in a Masters 1000 (2018 Canadian Open). Tsitsipas has nine career wins over top-10 players, and two of those wins have come this year. Tsitsipas has won each of his last seven matches on clay court.

Rafael Nadal is coming off a straight sets win over Stan Wawrinka that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Nadal won 79 percent of his first serve points and 91 percent of his second serve points. Nadal won 82 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his 10 break points. Nadal got 72 percent of his first serves in play and was even attacking the first serve of Wawrinka with high success. Nadal has won all six sets this tournament and has faced just two break points during that span. Nadal hopes to make his second final of the year and his 118th final appearance of his career. Nadal also hopes to make the final of the Madrid Open for the 10th time in his career, and he’s 9-1 in previous semifinal matches in this tournament. Nadal has won nine of his last 11 matches on clay court.

These two have played three times and Nadal has won all three matches in straight sets. The most recent match was this year in the Australian Open, a match Nadal won in 24 games. This will be the second time playing on clay.

Tsitsipas is more than capable of winning this match with the way he’s played his last couple of matches and with how he was hitting the ball in the third set of the quarterfinals. If Tsitsipas is capable of hitting some bombs and pushing Nadal around the court, this could get interesting. With that said, Tsitsipas has yet to even take a set from Nadal in seven tries, and it’s hard seeing much change on his favorite surface. It takes a special situation or brilliant performance to beat a healthy Nadal on clay. It just does.

This match will be competitive, but Nadal will make the final in Madrid for the 10th time in his career.

Pick:
Rafael Nadal

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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