Matthew Ebden vs. Tim Smyczek
|Date & Time||Wednesday July 18, 2018, 11:00 AM (EDT)|
The Line: Ebden -335 / Smyczek +280 -- Over/Under: 21
Tim Smyczek and Matthew Ebden meet in the second round of the tennis Hall of Fame Tennis Championships.
Tim Smyczek is coming off a three sets win over Grigor Dimitrov that took 27 games to decide. In the victory, Smyczek won 76 percent of his first serve points and 30 percent of his second serve points. Smyczek won 54 percent of his total service points and produced six breaks on 18 chances. Smyczek has to be much more consistent with his serve if he’s going to advance any further, as he was also broken six times and produced seven double faults. Even in a watered down tournament against subpar players, Smyczek has to be better than that if he’s going to reach the quarterfinals. Outside of qualifying, Smyczek hasn’t won two matches in a tournament since challenger play back in Dallas. Smyczek has split his last six matches on grass court.
Matthew Ebden is coming off a third round performance at the Wimbledon, which was the furthest he ever made it in a grand slam. Ebden was highly effective with his first serve and produced a combined 35 aces in his three matches. That type of success should give Ebden a much needed confidence boost entering this tournament, as he’s had some recent issues making deep runs when playing on the main tour. As long as Ebden gets his first serve in play ad can rack up the free points, he can be a player to watch in the tournament. If Ebden can’t keep his unforced error numbers below 30, he’s due for an early exit. Ebden has split his last six matches on grass court.
These two players met earlier in the year in the Netherlands, and Ebden won the match in straight sets. The match took 17 games to be decided.
Smyczek isn’t going to win this match if he can’t bump up his service percentage and stop the silly errors. It’s the reason Smyczek has had issues stringing together any consistent success in tournaments like this one. Ebden is fresh off some Wimbledon success, was hitting his spots with his serve and has to view this tournament as a chance to make a quarterfinal or something even bigger.
Ebden should win this match in straight sets.