Vesnina vs. Venus
|Date & Time||Thursday March 16, 2017, 9:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Vesnina +150 / Venus -170 -- Over/Under:
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Venus Williams and Elena Vesnina meet Thursday in the quarterfinals of the 2017 Indian Wells Masters.
Venus Williams is coming off a straight sets win over Shuai Peng that took 25 games to decide. In the victory, Venus won 65 percent of her first serve points and 48 percent of her second serve points. Venus continues to surprise the tennis world and finds ways to win despite dropping the first set in two of her first three matches. Venus still has the ability to find another gear when she gets in trouble and has been very sharp with her return, as she’s given herself a combined 25 breakpoints in her last two matches. Venus has to improve her serve if she’s going to compete for the final, but overall, the American remains in solid form given her age and is tough to bet against in California. Venus has won 10 of her last 12 matches on hard court.
Elena Vesnina is coming off a straight sets win over Angelique Kerber that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Vesnina won 61 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Vesnina has been kind of the cinderella of this tournament and is coming off an extremely impressive performance in which she dominated the top female player in the world. Vesnina won 52 percent of her return points and allowed Kerber to win just 23 percent of her second serve points. It’s now a question of how Vesnina follows up such a performance and earning her 10th career win over a top-10 player. Vesnina has lost seven of her last nine quarterfinal appearances. Vesnina has won seven of her last 10 matches on hard court.
These two have met five times in the past and Vesnina has won three of those meetings. The most recent match was in the 2016 Miami Masters, a match Vesnina won in three sets. This will be the fifth time these two meet on hard court.
This is going to be a fun battle between two top-15 players who have a real chance to win this tournament. But I have to go with Venus given her overall form and success in big matches. This is around the time where Vesnina folds in tournaments. The extra day of rest is also going to help the older Venus in a big way, and she really wants to win this event considering it is in Cali.
I’ll side with Venus in a tight one.