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Venus Williams vs. Madison Keys - 8/16/19 Cincinnati Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Venus Williams vs. Madison Keys
Date & Time Friday August 16, 2019, 7:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Lindner Family Tennis Center
Cincinnati, Ohio
The Line
The Line: -- Over/Under:
TV Channel
Tennis
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Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports

Venus Williams and Madison Keys meet in the quarterfinals of the 2019 tennis Cincinnati Open.

Venus Williams is coming off a three sets win over Donna Vekic that took 26 games to decide. In the victory, Venus won 49 percent of her first serve points and 64 percent of her second serve points. Venus won 55 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 11 break points. Venus got 61 percent of her first serves in play, saved 10 of her 15 break points and hit four aces. Venus obviously has the be better with her first serve, but her return has been on point and she’s produced 18 breaks in her first three matches. Venus has now won seven of her last eight matches that have gone the distance. Venus hopes to make her first Premier 5 tournament semifinal appearance since the 2015 Wuhan Open. Venus has split her last six matches on hard court.

Madison Keys is coming off a three sets win over Simona Halep that took 28 games to decide. In the victory, Keys won 64 percent of her first serve points and 43 percent of her second serve points. Keys won 57 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 13 break points. Keys got 67 percent of her first serves in play, saved 11 of her 15 break points and hit 10 aces. Keys looks nothing like the player who entered this tournament on a three-match losing streak, and she’s now won four of her last five matches that have gone the distance. Keys has won three straight matches for the fourth time since the Australian Open. Keys looks to make her third career semifinal appearance in a Premier 5 tournament. Keys has split her last six matches on hard court.

These two have split the previous four meetings, with Keys winning the most recent match in 2016 Montreal. Each of the last three meetings were decided in three sets. Keys is 2-1 against Venus on hard court.

While you never overlook Venus, especially on American soil, Keys is going to overwhelm her if she plays the same way she did against Halep. I’ve said countless times that most matches are on Keys’ racket, it’s just a matter of limiting her unforced errors and hitting with controlled power. Keys was moving well and hitting brilliant shot after brilliant shot, often taking the racket out of Halep’s hands. An aging Venus who doesn’t move as well as she once did, she’ll have zero answer for Keys. In fact, Keys wins this whole tournament if she repeats what she did against Halep. 

Keys makes the semifinals in Cincinnati.

Pick:
Madison Keys

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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