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Chicago Sky vs. Phoenix Mercury - 9/11/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Phoenix Mercury at Chicago Sky
Date & Time Wednesday September 11, 2019, 8:00 PM (EDT)
Wintrust Arena
Chicago, IL
The Line
The Line: Chicago Sky -6 - Over/Under: 167
TV Channel
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Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

The Phoenix Mercury and Chicago Sky meet Wednesday in the first round of the WNBA playoffs at the Wintrust Arena.

The Phoenix Mercury enter the playoffs on a rough four-game losing streak. The Phoenix Mercury are averaging 76.5 points on 42.4 percent shooting and allowing 77.6 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Brittney Griner is averaging 20.6 points and 7.3 rebounds while DeWanna Bonner is averaging 17.3 points and 7.6 rebounds. Leilani Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer and Yvonne Turner is dishing 2.3 assists. The Phoenix Mercury are shooting 32.5 percent from beyond the arc and 84.6 percent from the free throw line. The Phoenix Mercury are allowing 34 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.5 rebounds per game. The Phoenix Mercury have lost five of their last seven road games.

The Chicago Sky enter this contest winning 13 of their last 19 games. The Chicago Sky are averaging 84.6 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 83.3 points on 41.8 percent shooting. Diamond DeShields is averaging 16.2 points and 5.6 rebounds while Allie Quigley is averaging 13.8 points and 2.6 assists. Courtney Vandersloot is the third double-digit scorer and Jantel Lavender is grabbing 6.9 rebounds. The Chicago Sky are shooting 33.6 percent from beyond the arc and 81.9 percent from the free throw line. The Chicago Sky are allowing 33.1 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.4 rebounds per game. The Chicago Sky have won seven of their last nine home games.

The Mercury are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. Eastern Conference, 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing on 2 days rest and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Sky are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 2 days rest and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. The Mercury are 0-5 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The over is 37-18-2 in Sky last 57 overall. The over is 4-1 in Mercury last 5 road games.

The Chicago Sky have won all three meetings against the Mercury this year, winning by an average of 14 points, and that includes a 27-point beatdown last week. The Phoenix Mercury are riding a four-game losing streak and are losing their last five games overall by an average of 11 points. I get that the Mercury have championship pedigree and are always a threat whenever the playoffs start, as they have the experience to flip the switch. Heck, we saw it last year. However, these are two teams heading in completely different directions and it's hard to argue the numbers. I'll take the Sky and the somewhat reasonable chalk. 

Chicago Sky -6

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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