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Connecticut Sun vs. Los Angeles Sparks - 9/17/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Los Angeles Sparks at Connecticut Sun
Date & Time Tuesday September 17, 2019, 6:30 PM (EDT)
Location
Mohegan Sun Arena
Uncasville, CT
The Line
The Line: Connecticut Sun +1 -- Over/Under: 159.5
TV Channel
ESPN2, SN1
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Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Los Angeles Sparks and Connecticut Sun meet Tuesday in game one of the WNBA semifinals at the Mohegan Sun Arena.

The Los Angeles Sparks are coming off a playoff win over the Seattle Storm and have won eight of their last 10 games overall. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 80.4 points on 43.3 percent shooting and allowing 77 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 16.1 points and 8.8 rebounds while Chelsea Gray is averaging 14.5 points and 5.9 assists. Riquna Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Candace Parker is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 34.3 percent from beyond the arc and 83.7 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks have lost five of their last seven road games.

The Connecticut Sun haven’t played in over a week and have won seven of their last 10 games. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 80.8 points on 42.3 percent shooting and allowing 77.9 points on 43.9 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds while Courtney Williams is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Jasmine Thomas is dishing 5.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70.4 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 30.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.8 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun have won 15 of their last 17 home games.

The Sparks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Semi-Finals games, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games The Sun are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Tuesday games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. Western Conference and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Connecticut. The over is 5-0 in Sun last 5 overall. The over is 4-1 in Sparks last 5 road games.

The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings between the Sparks and Sun. The Sun have by far been one of the best home teams in the league this season where they win by an average of 10 points while shooting 44.8 percent from the field. The Los Angeles Sparks have lost five of their last seven on the road, and they lose on the road overall this season by an average of 4.2 points while shooting just 40.7 percent from the field. In a toss-up game, there's no way I can bet against the Sun at home in this spot. 

Pick:
Connecticut Sun +1

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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