Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics - 9/22/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Las Vegas Aces vs. Washington Mystics - 9/22/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Washington Mystics at Las Vegas Aces

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 4:00 PM (Mandalay Bay Events Center)

The Line: Las Vegas Aces +2.5 -- Over/Under: 181.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Washington Mystics and Las Vegas Aces meet Sunday in game three of the WNBA semifinals at the Mandalay Bay Events Center.

The Washington Mystics look to complete the sweep to make it back-to-back WNBA Final appearances. The Washington Mystics are averaging 89.5 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 77.8 points on 43.2 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 19.5 points and 8.3 rebounds while Emma Meesseman is averaging 13.1 points and 3.2 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Aerial Powers is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 36.7 percent from beyond the arc and 87.7 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 33.2 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won seven of their last nine road games.

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The Las Vegas Aces need a win here to save their season and force a game four on Tuesday. The Las Vegas Aces are averaging 82.9 points on 43 percent shooting and allowing 79.7 points on 40.2 percent shooting. A'ja Wilson is averaging 16.5 points and 6.4 rebounds while Liz Cambage is averaging 15.9 points and 8.2 rebounds. Kayla McBride is the third double-digit scorer and Dearica Hamby is grabbing 7.6 rebounds. The Las Vegas Aces are shooting 37.4 percent from beyond the arc and 77.9 percent from the free throw line. The Las Vegas Aces are allowing 32.2 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 39 rebounds per game. The Las Vegas Aces have won their last five home games.

The Mystics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Sunday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest. The Aces are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, 7-16 ATS in their last 23 Sunday games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. The Mystics are 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Las Vegas and 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The over is 11-2-1 in Aces last 14 overall. The over is 16-7 in Mystics last 23 overall.

I know the Mystics look like the best team in the league and are good no matter where they play. The Mystics have also won five of the last six meetings against the Aces. However, the Las Vegas Aces had their chances to win either of the first two games, and now they come back home where they've won five straight and are winning by an average of 5.6 points on the season while allowing just 39.6 percent shooting. The Aces are too talented of a team to go down this quietly. I'll take the free bucket with the home team.

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Randy’s Pick Las Vegas Aces +2.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.