Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun - 9/22/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Los Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun - 9/22/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction Photo by

Connecticut Sun at Los Angeles Sparks

Sunday, September 22, 2019 at 6:00 PM (Walter Pyramid at Long Beach State)

The Line: Los Angeles Sparks -4.5 -- Over/Under: 161.5

TV: ESPN2, SN1

The Connecticut Sun and Los Angeles Sparks meet Sunday in game three of the WNBA semifinals at the Walter Pyramid at Long Beach State.

The Connecticut Sun look to complete the sweep and head to their third WNBA Finals appearance in franchise history. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 80.9 points on 42.3 percent shooting and allowing 77.9 points on 44 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds while Courtney Williams is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Jasmine Thomas is dishing 5.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.6 percent from beyond the arc and 70 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 30.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.7 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun have split their last 10 road games.

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The Los Angeles Sparks need a win here to save their season and force a game four on Tuesday. The Los Angeles Sparks are averaging 80.2 points on 43.4 percent shooting and allowing 77.2 points on 40.8 percent shooting. Nneka Ogwumike is averaging 16.1 points and 8.8 rebounds while Chelsea Gray is averaging 14.5 points and 5.9 assists. Riquna Williams is the third double-digit scorer and Candace Parker is grabbing 6.4 rebounds. The Los Angeles Sparks are shooting 34 percent from beyond the arc and 83.3 percent from the free throw line. The Los Angeles Sparks are allowing 34.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 34.3 rebounds per game. The Los Angeles Sparks haven’t lost a home game since June 18.

The Sun are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Western Conference, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 2 days rest. The Sparks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 20-7 ATS in their last 27 Sunday games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Eastern Conference. The Sun are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles and the under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings in Los Angeles. The under is 38-15 in Sparks last 53 home games. The over is 5-1 in Sun last 6 overall.

The Connecticut Sun have had their way in the first two games, but they're not the same team on the road as they are at home. The Sun have not only lost five of their last 10 road games, but they're also losing by an average of 4.2 points on the road overall this season. The Los Angeles Sparks are an experienced club that's not going to go down easily, and they haven't lost at home since June 18, where they win by an average of 10.6 points. I'll eat the reasonable chalk with the Sparks.

Randy’s Pick Los Angeles Sparks -4.5

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a Sports Chat Place site consensus.