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Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream - 8/31/18 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Atlanta Dream (24-12) vs. Washington Mystics (24-13)
Date & Time Friday August 31, 2018, 8:00 PM (EDT)
The Line
The Line: Washington Mystics -3 -- Over/Under: 161.5
TV Channel
ESPNEWS & NBA TV SIMULCAST
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Michael Zamora-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics meet Friday in game three of the WNBA semifinals at the Charles E. Smith Center.

The Atlanta Dream can retake control of this series by stealing this road game and taking a 2-1 lead. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 81.9 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 79.7 points on 42.2 percent shooting. Tiffany Hayes is averaging 17.4 points and 2.6 assists while Renee Montgomery is averaging 10.2 points and 3.5 assists. Elizabeth Williams is grabbing 5.7 rebounds and Jessica Breland is dishing 2.1 assists. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 31.7 percent from beyond the arc and 74.5 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 32.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 35.9 rebounds per game. The Atlanta Dream have won seven of their last eight road games.

The Washington Mystics also need a win in this crucial game to take a 2-1 series lead. The Washington Mystics are averaging 82.6 points on 45 percent shooting and allowing 78.7 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 21 points and 7.3 rebounds while Kristi Toliver is averaging 13.8 points and 4.4 assists. Ariel Atkins is the third double-digit scorer and LaToya Sanders is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 86.5 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 33.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.9 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won five straight home games.

The Dream are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall. The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games, 7-15 ATS in their last 22 Friday games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The Dream are 2-7-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and the under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in Washington.

I'm not sure how the hell the Mystics are favored here when Elena Delle Donne, the teams best player, is dobutful with a knee injury. The Dream are argubaly the better team between these clubs at full strength, but without their top player, it's hard to like the Mystics at all. Atalnta controlled the second game of this series and had chances to win game one despite an extremely slow start. Give me the free bucket, as I can't back the Mystics without Delle Donne.

Pick:
Atlanta Dream +3

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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