Atlanta Dream (25-12) vs. Washington Mystics (24-14)
|Date & Time||Sunday September 2, 2018, 3:00 PM (EDT)|
The Line: Washington Mystics -2 -- Over/Under: 158
The Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics meet Sunday in game four of the WNBA semifinals at the Charles E. Smith Center.
The Atlanta Dream can reach their fourth WNBA Finals in franchise history and first since 2013 with a victory here. The Atlanta Dream are averaging 81.8 points on 42.6 percent shooting and allowing 79.6 points on 42.1 percent shooting. Tiffany Hayes is averaging 17.4 points and 2.6 assists while Renee Montgomery is averaging 10.2 points and 3.5 assists. Elizabeth Williams is grabbing 5.7 rebounds and Jessica Breland is dishing 2.1 assists. The Atlanta Dream are shooting 31.8 percent from beyond the arc and 74.4 percent from the free throw line. The Atlanta Dream are allowing 32.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 36.1 rebounds per game. The Atlanta Dream have won eight of their last nine road games.
The Washington Mystics need a victory to save their season and force a game five on Tuesday. The Washington Mystics are averaging 82.4 points on 44.8 percent shooting and allowing 78.7 points on 44.3 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 21 points and 7.3 rebounds while Kristi Toliver is averaging 13.8 points and 4.4 assists. Ariel Atkins is the third double-digit scorer and LaToya Sanders is grabbing 6.6 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 36 percent from beyond the arc and 86.4 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 33.5 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 31.8 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics have won five of their last six home games.
The Dream are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games overall. The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Dream are 3-7-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
I still can't back the Washington Mystics without knowing if Elena Delle Donne is going to play, and there's no reason to think she will with the way she injured her knee. Even with her in the lineup, the Atlanta Dream are probably the better basketball team, so the fact we're getting points here is really hard to pass up. I'm going to side with the Dream and the free bucket, as the Mystics are unbackable without their best player on the court.