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Washington Mystics vs. Connecticut Sun - 9/29/19 WNBA Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Game
Connecticut Sun at Washington Mystics
Date & Time Sunday September 29, 2019, 3:00 PM (EDT)
Location
Entertainment and Sports Arena
Washington, DC
The Line
The Line: Washington Mystics -7.5 -- Over/Under: 165.5
TV Channel
ESPN
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Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Connecticut Sun and Washington Mystics meet Sunday in game one of the WNBA Finals at the Entertainment and Sports Arena.

The Connecticut Sun have enjoyed a week off after sweeping the Los Angeles Sparks. The Connecticut Sun are averaging 81.2 points on 42.5 percent shooting and allowing 77 points on 43.5 percent shooting. Jonquel Jones is averaging 14.6 points and 9.7 rebounds while Courtney Williams is averaging 13.2 points and 3.8 assists. Alyssa Thomas is the third double-digit scorer and Jasmine Thomas is dishing 5.1 assists. The Connecticut Sun are shooting 35.4 percent from beyond the arc and 70.2 percent from the free throw line. The Connecticut Sun are allowing 29.9 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 37.1 rebounds per game. The Connecticut Sun have won six of their last 11 road games.

The Washington Mystics haven’t played a game since Tuesday after beating the Las Vegas Aces in four games. The Washington Mystics are averaging 89.6 points on 46.8 percent shooting and allowing 78.8 points on 43.7 percent shooting. Elena Delle Donne is averaging 19.5 points and 8.3 rebounds while Emma Meesseman is averaging 13.1 points and 3.2 assists. Kristi Toliver is the third double-digit scorer and Aerial Powers is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Washington Mystics are shooting 36.8 percent from beyond the arc and 87.9 percent from the free throw line. The Washington Mystics are allowing 34.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 32.8 rebounds per game. The Washington Mystics haven’t lost a home game since July 13.

The Sun are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 road games, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Mystics are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 home games, 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games. The Sun are 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Washington and 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings. The over is 4-1 in Mystics last 5 overall. The over is 5-0 in Sun last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.

The Connecticut Sun aren't as good on the road as they are at home, and the Washington Mystics have been a buzzsaw at home where they've covered seven of their last 10 and win by an average of 16.5 points. With that said, the Sun have the offensive firepower to hang with the Mystics and have actually won six of the last nine meetings. The Sun come into this game averaging 87.2 points in their last five games and winning those contests by an average of 4.8 points. This feels like a tad too many points to pass up in what should be a high scoring and entertaining series.

Pick:
Connecticut Sun +7.5

Randy Chambers has been with Sports Chat Place since 2014 and covers everything from the NFL to WNBA and tennis. Nobody works harder in this business in terms of content produced and amount of sports covered. Formerly a lead college football writer with Bleacher Report and has had his work featured at Fox Sports, CBS Sports and various other outlets.

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