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Houston Dynamo vs. Philadelphia Union - 7/25/18 MLS Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Union at Houston Dynamo

Major League Soccer: Wednesday, July 25, 2018 at 9:00 pm (BBVA Compass Stadium)

The Line: Houston -135 / Draw +289 / Philadelphia +341 -- Over/Under: 3 See the Latest Odds

TV: ESPN+, MLS LIVE on DAZN (Canada), Live Well Network, KUBE 57

We have some midweek MLS action on tap Wednesday night from BBVA Compass Stadium as the Houston Dynamo host the Philadelphia Union. 

The Houston Dynamo come into this match looking to build on their current four game unbeaten run in league play following a 1-1 draw with in-state rivals FC Dallas in their last outing. The action came early and often as FC Dallas went 1-0 up the opening minute before the Dynamo’s Mauro Manotas equalized just seven minutes later. That was all the scoring the match would see however as the game finished in the score draw. FC Dallas had a chance to retake the lead just after the hour mark, but Roland Lamah missed from the penalty spot. Houston were out possessed by Dallas 56%-44%, and outshot 15-12 and 3-2 in terms of shots on target. Manotas leads the Dynamo with 10 goals this season while Romell Quioto leads Houston in assists with 8 helpers this season. 

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Houston Dynamo vs. Philadelphia Union - 7/25/18 MLS Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Union will be looking to rebound after dropping a 3-1 decision at home to the LA Galaxy in their most recent outing. Philadelphia went 1-0 up in the 29th thanks to C.J. Sapong and carried that lead into the half. However three goals in the 48th, 63rd and 82nd from Ola Kamara, Zlatan Ibrahimovic and Michael Ciani respectively would give the visitors all three points at full time. Philadelphia were narrowly edged in possession with 47% to LA’s 53%, but the Union outshot the Galaxy 15-14 with LA holding a 9-7 edge in terms of shots on goal. Borek Dockal leads Philadelphia with 5 goals and 4 assists this season.

Head-to-head, the home side has dominated the fixture, winning three straight and nine of the last 12 meetings, with a couple of draws and a lone away win in 2013 as the only outliers. It’s also worth noting that each of the last eight encounters have seen at least one team shut out. 

The plus money with the Union and the draw is tempting, but Philadelphia have picked up just 7 of a possible 27 points away from home this season. Houston aren’t a world-beating side at home, but the home teams dominance in this trend is enough to push the needle towards Houston claiming all three points here. Braver punters may want to try backing the Houston win to nil option if applicable.

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