Aston Villa vs. Manchester City - 3/1/20 English Carabao Cup Final Preview, Pick and Prediction
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3/1/20 11:30 AM ET
Aston Villa +2.5 (-130) O/U - 3.5
Aston Villa (LLLWW) and Manchester City (WWWLL) will meet on Sunday, March 1st for an English soccer matchup in the English Carabao Cup Final. The match is scheduled for an 11:30 AM ET start time and will be featured on ESPN+.
Aston Villa’s last match was postponed, as they were set to take on Sheffield United in English Premier League action. Aston Villa’s last played match was on February 22nd, and they lost that match 2-0 to Southampton on the road. For Aston Villa, it is a great feat to make it to the final of the Carabao Cup. Although they are not given much of a chance against a titan like Manchester City, they are still a success story for even being in this spot. When it comes to English Premier League play, Aston Villa has struggled, losing their last three matches outright to Southampton, Tottenham, and AFC Bournemouth respectively. Aston Villa has allowed seven goals in their last three matches, which certainly will not get the job done against a powerhouse like Manchester City.
Manchester City is the big favorites in this English Carabao Cup Final. Manchester City is coming off a 2-1 impressive victory over Real Madrid in their last match in the UEFA Champions League. Manchester City has now won three matches in a row, two of which coming from the English Premier League against Leicester City and West Ham United. Manchester City’s stellar defense has held up successfully in recent matches, as they have only conceded 1 goal in their last three matches combined.
In the last match between these two teams on January 12th, 2020, Manchester City cleaned house with a dominating 6-1 performance over Aston Villa on the road. Manchester City has owned Aston Villa as of late, as in their last five matches combined against each other, Manchester City is outscoring Villa 17-1.
When it comes to the English Carabao Cup Final, I am confident that Manchester City will pick up the win at Wembley. These are the types of settings that Manchester City do not let slip by them, so a win is sure to come. However, 2.5 goals is a lot to lay in a championship or final. Aston Villa has certainly not impressed as of late, but can they play well enough in one of their biggest games of the year to catch a cover? I do not think so, especially when you look at how Manchester City has totally dominated this series over the years. I will lay the 2.5 goals, although it is not my favorite game on the board. The +105 value makes it a tad more enticing.