Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. SC Paderborn 07 5/16/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
5/16/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-125), Under 2.5 (+100)
Fortuna Dusseldorf is hosting SC Paderborn 07 at Merkur Spiel-Arena in round 26 of German Bundesliga.
Fortuna is one of the weakest teams in Bundesliga and they are in 16th place in the standings with only 22 points from 25 games. Fortuna is not playing well on either end. Offensively, Fortuna has scored only 27 goals, while they conceded 50 goals which are an average of 2 conceded goals per game. Even though Fortuna has lost only 1 of their last 5 games, they also won only 1 game with 3 draws in their last 5 games. In their latest game in Bundesliga against Mainz on the road, Fortuna was a much better team with 65% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 8 corner kicks, and 82% of the correct passes, but unfortunately for them, Fortuna wasn’t able to use their chances and this match ended in a 1-1 draw. At least for now, Fortuna is in the relegation playoffs, but their schedule is not that bad over the next few games which should allow Fortuna to win some points. Hennings has scored 11 goals for Fortuna this season, Thommy added 5 assists. Steffen and Kownacki are injured and will not be in the lineup for this match. I don’t think that Fortuna has the quality to escape the relegation zone, but they can certainly stay in the relegation playoff spot.
Paderborn is definitely the weakest team in Bundesliga, and they haven’t won any of their last 6 games. In those six games, Paderborn has conceded massive 14 goals, while scoring 7 goals. With only 16 points, 30 scored goals, and 54 conceded goals, Paderborn is in the last place in the standings and they will most certainly get relegated to Bundesliga 2. Mamba has scored 5 goals for Paderborn this season, while Srbeny added 4 goals. Proger has 5 assists in 23 games. Injury list is quite long for Paderborn with players like Kilian, Mamba, Hunemeier, Kapic, and Michel on it. In their last game in Bundesliga before the stoppage, Paderborn was hosting Koln. Paderborn had 47% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, and 75% of accurate passes in that game. Paderborn was losing 0-2 in the first half, in the second half they played better soccer, but it wasn’t enough, and Paderborn lost this match 1-2. Who knows, maybe this break will be a good thing for Paderborn and maybe they win some of the games to give themselves a chance to stay in Bundesliga next season, but considering the amount of the injuries they have, I doubt it.
This is a derby between two teams that are struggling and fighting for their lives in Bundesliga. Fortuna hasn’t won any of their last 6 home games against Paderborn, while Paderborn hasn’t won any of their last 6 games overall. Neither of these teams is giving me enough confidence at the moment, and this stinks of a draw to me. I will go with my gut here.