FC Koln vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 5/17/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
5/17/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-150), Under 2.5 (+120)
FC Koln is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 at RheinEnergieStadion in round 26 of German Bundesliga.
Koln has been playing well this season and they are in 10th place in the standings with 32 points, 39 scored goals, and 45 conceded goals. Koln is actually closer to the Europa League than to the relegation zone. Offensively, Koln has been good, and they scored at least one goal in 11 of their last 12 games, but they have been even better defensively with 2 clean sheets in their last 5 games. In their last match in Bundesliga against M’gladbach on the road, Koln had 47% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, and 79% of the correct passes. It was a tough match for both teams, but M’gladbach was a better team in this match and Koln has lost this game 1-2. Jhon Cordoba has scored 10 goals for Koln this season, while Bornauw added 5 goals. Florian Kainz added 6 assists. Czichos is the only injured player for Koln and will miss this match. Koln has been promoted to Bundesliga this season and their only goal was to stay in Bundesliga next season as well, mission accomplished I would say. I doubt it that Koln will be able to get to the Europa League, but they will certainly stay outside the relegation zone.
Mainz is outside the relegation zone for now, in 15th place with 36 points, but that is only 4 points ahead of Fortuna in 16th place. Mainz has lost only 1 of their last 5 games before the season was paused and their form was on the rise. It’s impossible to know how the team will react without a game in their feet for over 2 months, but I hope Mainz can continue their good form, for their sake. The defense has been Mainz’s biggest problem this season where they concede massive 53 goals in 25 games, an average of over 2 goals per game. Offensively, Mainz is up to the par with most of the teams in Bundesliga. In their last match in Bundesliga against Fortuna at home, Mainz was the weaker team with only 35% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 1 corner kick, and 67% of the correct passes. This was a disastrous game for Mainz where they despite being the worst team, Mainz was able to get the lead in the 61st minute, but unfortunately for them, Fortuna tied the game in 81st minute and that was the final result of this match. Quaison has scored 12 goals for Mainz this season, while Boetius and Onisiwo added 5 assists each. Zentner is injured, while Mateta is suspended because of yellow cards. The rest of the season will be tough for Mainz and if they want to stay in Bundesliga, their defense will have to improve defense, drastically.
When playing at home, Koln has not lost to Mainz in their last 9 encounters. Mainz’s away record is 4-0-8 this season, while Koln is 6-1-5 at home. The trends are evenly split in this matchup, and even though I think that Koln is the better team, I have a feeling this one could end in a draw.