Wolfsburg vs. Borussia Dortmund 5/23/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
5/23/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-175), Under 2.5 (+137)
Wolfsburg is welcoming Borussia Dortmund to Volkswagen Arena in a derby match of round 27 of German Bundesliga.
Wolfsburg is a talented team and they are playing great soccer this season, and thanks to that, Wolfsburg is in 6th place with 39 points, the last place that leads to the Europa League next season. With 36 scored goals and 31 conceded goals, Wolfsburg has been solid throughout the season on both ends. In their Bundesliga game last weekend against Augsburg on the road, Wolfsburg was outstanding with 61% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 1 corner kick, and 81% of accurate passes. Wolfsburg got ahead late in the first half, but Augsburg was able to tie the game in the 54th minute. Just when we thought the teams will split the points, Wolfsburg has scored a winning goal in 91st minute and this match ended with a 1-2 result. Weghorst has scored 11 goals for Wolfsburg this season, while Arnold added 5 assists. Camacho, William, Guilavogui, and Gerhardt are all injured and will not be in the lineup for this match. I like Wolfsburg, they are a good and talented team that is playing attacking soccer, but the pressure from behind them in the standings is huge because 4 other teams are in the hunt for the same spot. Wolfsburg must do everything possible to stay consistent for as long as they can, otherwise, they will lose the Europa League spot.
Borussia is still in the hunt for Bayern Munich. With 54 points, 72 scored goals, and 33 conceded goals, Borussia is in second place, 4 points behind Bayern. Borussia Dortmund was playing against Schalke in a derby last weekend, and boy was this game a treat. Borussia has had 59% of ball possession, 4 shots on target, 4 corner kicks, and 85% of the correct passes. Borussia was calm, dominant, and precise in this game, and has scored 4 goals from their 4 shots on goal. Borussia Dortmund has won this match 4-0. I was hoping that at this point in the season Borussia will be at the top of the Bundesliga because they are playing the most exciting soccer in Germany, but a few unfortunate draws throughout the season have cost them the top spot. Sancho has scored 14 goals and added 15 assists for Borussia this season, while Reus added 11 goals, and Haaland scored 10 goals in 9 games. Zagadou is injured, while Reus will most likely miss the rest of the season due to the injury as well. Borussia has some of the best fans in the world and it’s a huge blow for Borussia not having them on the stadium, but with the way they are playing, they might not need them. Borussia still has a chance to win the title, but they must stay focused and true to themselves.
Wolfsburg hasn’t won any of their last three games against Borussia, while Wolfsburg’s home record this season is 4-6-3. This is the matchup between two teams that like to play open and attacking soccer and for that reason I expect goals. But I also think that Borussia is the better team here and they need the win more.