FSV Mainz 05 vs. 1899 Hoffenheim 5/30/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
FSV Mainz 05 8-4-16, 1899 Hoffenheim 11-6-11
5/30/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-175), Under 2.5 (+137)
FSV Mainz 05 is welcoming 1899 Hoffenheim to Opel Arena in round 29 of German Bundesliga.
Mainz is on the edge of the relegation zone, in 15th place with 28 points, just one point more than Fortuna in 16th place. With 3 draws and one loss in their last 4 games, we can say that Mainz is on a positive run, but only draws will not keep Mainz in Bundesliga. In their last three games in Bundesliga, Mainz has conceded 8 goals, while scoring only 3 goals. Mainz was playing against Union Berlin in their midweek match in Bundesliga. Mainz was the better team in that match with 60% of ball possession, 6 corner kicks, 2 shots on goal, and 82% of the correct passes. This was a solid game where we saw one goal on each side in the first half, and the result hasn’t changed again in this match. Quaison is the leading goal scorer for Mainz this season with 12 goals. Zentner is the only injured player for Mainz, which is a good thing because coach Beierlorzer will need every single player available for rotation because the games are being played every few days. Relegation race is tight in Bundesliga this season, and Mainz is not any better or worse than the rest of the teams at the bottom of the table which is why the battle of the weakest team in Bundesliga is that interesting.
After eight games without a win, Hoffenheim has finally won all three points in Bundesliga against Koln earlier this week. Hoffenheim didn’t have a particularly good game with only 43% of ball possession, 6 shots on goal, 0 corner kicks, and 83% of the correct passes. Hoffenheim might not have been the better team, but they were more effective with 3 scored goals and they won this match 3-1. With these 3 points, Hoffenheim is now in 7th place in the standings with 39 points, 3 points less than Wolfsburg on the Europa League spot. Kramaric is the top goal scorer in Hoffenheim with 7 goals, but he is injured and will not be playing. Baumgartner has added 6 goals. Beldofil and Adamyan are also injured and will miss this game. Hoffenheim is in a similar situation as Eintracht, but the difference is that Hoffenheim didn’t lose a few important players, they lost their former head coach, Julia Nagglesman who was their strongest link. The battle for that last place that leads to the Europa League is also incredibly tense and exciting, but I don’t think that Hoffenheim has more quality or depth than Wolfsburg and for that reason, I don’t see Hoffenheim playing the Europa League next season.
Mainz hasn’t won any of their last 4 games, while Hoffenheim hasn’t won any of their last 5 away matches. To be honest, this is one of those games where I don’t know what to bet. Hoffenheim has won their last match which could be the tipping point and they might string a few wins together now, but Mainz has had their moments at home against Hoffenheim. I think I will stick to goals on this one.