Freiburg vs. Borussia M’gladbach 6/5/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Freiburg 10-8-11, Borussia M'gladbach 17-5-7
6/5/20 2:30 pm
Over 2.5 (-150), Under 2.5 (+120)
Freiburg is welcoming Borussia M’gladbach to Schwarzwald-Stadion in round 30 of German Bundesliga.
Freiburg hasn’t been playing well since the season was restarted and they have not won any of their last three games. During that stretch, Freiburg has conceded 5 goals, while scoring 3 goals. In the standings, Freiburg is in high 8th place with 38 points, and I think this is their maximum, no matter how close the Europa League might seem. For most of the season, Freiburg was solid on both ends, but it looks like that this forced break did more harm than good for Freiburg. In their latest Bundesliga match against Bayer Leverkusen at home, Freiburg has had only 31% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 71% of the correct passes. This was a tough game for both teams, but Freiburg has unfortunately lost 0-1. Nils Petersen is still the leading goal scorer for Freiburg with 9 goals, while Gunter added 7 assists. Kath, Ravet, and Haberer are all injured and will not be playing in this match. Freiburg had an outstanding first part of the season and thanks to that they are this high on the table, but I don’t see them getting to the Europa League because Freiburg is struggling with consistency on both ends and there aren’t a lot of games left in the season.
Borussia is playing some of the best soccer in Bundesliga this season and they are in 4th place in the standings with 56 points, the same amount as Leverkusen in 5th. The race for the title is pretty much over in Bundesliga, but for the spots from 2nd until 4th place, the battle is tough, and we have 4 teams battling for those spots. Borussia has score 57 goals in 29 games, which is close to an average of 2 goals per game, but what kept Borussia close to the top is their solid defense where they conceded 35 goals. Plea has scored 10 goals and added 10 assists for Borussia this season, while Thuram added 10 goals and 7 assists. Johnson, Embolo, Strobl, and Zakaria are all injured. In their last match in Bundesliga against Union Berlin at home last weekend, Borussia was the better team with 58% of ball possession, 9 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, and 86% of the correct passes. It took a few minutes for Borussia to get into the rhythm in this game, but once they did, their game style looked like a beautiful symphony. Borussia M’gladbach has won this game 4-1. If Borussia wants to stay in one of the Champions League spots they must win in this match because their next two games will be hard, first against Bayern on the road, and then against Wolfsburg at home. The next couple of weeks will be crucial for Borussia M’gladbach.
Freiburg hasn’t won any of their last 4 games, and they haven’t won any of their last three games against Borussia M’gladbach, while Borussia hasn’t lost any of their last 5 away games. We saw a lot of goals in the last few games between Freiburg and Borussia, and I think it will be the same here, but I also think that Borussia will extend their winning streak.