Valencia vs. Levante 6/12/20 LaLiga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Valencia 11-9-7, Levante 10-3-14
6/12/20 4 pm
Over 2.5 (-163), Under 2.5 (+130)
Valencia is welcoming Levante to Mestalla in part of round 28 of Spanish LaLiga.
Valencia was having a solid season, but they weren’t playing in good form in the weeks before the break, so I think that this hiatus was actually good for Valencia. In the Champions League Valencia was knocked out of the competition by Atalanta with 2 losses and 8 conceded goals. In LaLiga, Valencia is in 7th place with 42 points, just 4 points away from the Champions League spot. Offensively, Valencia has been decent this season with 38 scored goals, but their defense has been put to the spotlight too many times this season and Valencia has conceded 39 goals in 27 games. Maxi Gomes and Dani Parejo have scored 8 goals for Valencia so far, while Moreno added 7 assists. Garay and Mangala who are both Valencia’s starting defenders are injured and will skip this game, while Kondogbia is suspended because of the yellow cards. In their last LaLiga match against Alaves, Valencia has had 57% of ball possession, 3 corner kicks, 2 shots on goal, and 82% of the correct passes. Valencia had the lead at the half time, but Alaves tied the game in 52nd minute and this match ended in a 1-1 draw. Valencia is a team that could be in the top four in LaLiga, but injury problems have taken the toll on Valencia’s consistency this season and they will be lucky if they end up in the Europa League spot.
Levante is an average LaLiga team, and they are right where they are supposed to be, in 13th place in the standings with 33 points. With only 2 wins in their last 7 games, Levante was not playing in good form before the season was paused. In their last LaLiga game against Granada at home, Levante was good with 54% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 75% of the correct passes. This was a game that Levante should have won, but unfortunately for them, it ended in a 1-1 draw. Roger Marti is having a good season and ha has scored 11 goals for Levante so far, while Mayoral added 5 goals. Pier, Hernani, and Rochina are all injured and will not play in this match. LaLiga is the only competition that Levante is playing for the rest of the season, which means they can focus on securing their LaLiga status for next season. Position-wise, Levante is far from the relegation zone, but pointwise that is only 8 points, and if Levante continues with their bad form after the break, they could make their season unnecessarily complicated. There are a few teams in LaLiga that are closer to the relegation zone than Levante, but anything is possible, and Levante must remain focused until the end.
Valencia’s home record this season is 8-6-0 and they haven’t lost to Levante at home in their last 12 games, while Levante has lost 5 away games in a row. I would give the advantage to Valencia here as they are the better team, but with them missing two of their starting defenders, I’m not sure how Valencia’s game will look like. Both Valencia and Levante are shaky on the defensive end, and for that reason, I will go with goals on this one.