Celta Vigo vs. Villarreal 6/13/20 LaLiga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Celta Vigo 5-11-11, Villarreal 11-5-11
6/13/20 11 am
Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-110)
Celta Vigo is hosting Villarreal at Municipal de Balaidos in round 28 of Spanish LaLiga.
Celta was struggling for most of the season, but before the season was paused, Celta was playing solid soccer and they lost only 1 of their last 7 games in LaLiga. With 26 points, only 22 scored goals, and 34 conceded goals, Celta is in 17th place, just one point away from the relegation zone. The good news for Celta is that their defense has been decent this season, but they desperately need some attacking and goal-scoring firepower. In their last 3 games in LaLiga, Celta has scored only 1 goal, but they haven’t conceded any goals. In their last match in LaLiga against Getafe on the road, Celta has had 45% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 1 corner kick, and 69% of the correct passes. Not a particularly good game for Celta Vigo, but they didn’t lose. This match ended in a 0-0 draw. Iago Aspas is the leading goal scorer for Celta with 9 goals, while Denis Suarez added 3 assists. Suarez and Alvarez are injured and will not be in the lineup. The last season was a disaster for Celta and they barely escaped the relegation zone, it’s no different this season. Celta has a good team with some great players, which makes me wonder why they are so bad and inconsistent, I guess coaching change will happen in the offseason.
Villarreal has been playing well this season, but just before the season was paused, their form was declining so this break might have been a good thing for Villarreal. In their last three games in LaLiga, Villarreal has conceded 6 goals, while scoring only 2. Villarreal has lost those 3 games in a row. With 38 points, 44 scored goals, and 38 conceded goals, Villarreal is in 8th place in the standings, 7 points away from the Europa League. Moreno scored 11 goals so far this season, while Cazorla added 8 goals and 6 assists. Bruno Soriano and Manu Morlanes are injured, while Ruben Pena is suspended because of the yellow cards. In their last LaLiga match against Leganes at home, Villarreal was the better team with 64% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, and 87% of the correct passes. This was a decent game for Villarreal where they had 1-0 lead at the half-time, but Leganes was able to turn things around in the second half and Villarreal has lost this match 1-2. Villarreal also had a bad last season, so this 8th place is quite the improvement for Villarreal. The schedule is on the lighter side for Villarreal in their next few games where they should win a few important points in their pursuit of the Europa League.
Villarreal hasn’t won any of their last 3 games against Celta, while Celta hasn’t lost any of their last 6 home games. The trends are split evenly between Celta and Villarreal, and I think this game could go either way. The form from before the pause doesn’t matter much, and neither does the home-field advantage. I will take a stab at a draw here.