Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid 6/17/20 LaLiga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Osasuna 8-11-9, Atletico Madrid 11-13-4
6/17/20 4 pm
Over 2.5 (+150), Under 2.5 (-188)
Osasuna is hosting Atletico Madrid at Estadio El Sadar in part of round 28 of Spanish LaLiga.
Osasuna is having a decent season and they are in 11th place in the standings with 35 points, 35 scored goals, and 39 conceded goals. With 10 points to spare, Osasuna will most likely stay in the safe zone and will be playing in LaLiga next season as well. Avila has scored 9 goals for Osasuna this season, while Garcia added 6 goals, and Torres scored 6 goals and added 6 assists. Barja, Ibanez, and Avila are all injured and will not be in the lineup. Osasuna has lost 4 of their last 7 games, but they haven’t lost any of their last two games, including the one this past weekend against Real Sociedad. Osasuna was the weaker team in that match with only 35% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 73% of the correct passes. Osasuna was ahead at the half-time, but Sociedad has tied the game in 61st minute and this match ended in a 1-1 draw. Being the newcomer to LaLiga, Osasuna’s main goal was to end the season outside the relegation zone, and they are succeeding at the moment, and with a few more points this season, Osasuna will fully accomplish their goal.
Atletico Madrid hasn’t lost any of their last 8 games, but they have 4 draws during that stretch. This hasn’t been a good season for Atletico as they are dropping points left and right. Atletico is now in 6th place in the standings with 46 points, just 1 point less than Sociedad in 4th place, the last place that leads into the Champions League next season. Defensively, Atletico is one of the best teams in LaLiga with only 22 conceded goals, they are being their usual self, but with only 32 scored goals, Atletico is not playing well offensively, and they are creating very little chances. In their last LaLiga match against Athletic Bilbao this past weekend, Atletico has had 46% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, and only 75% of the correct passes. Athletic Bilbao got ahead in the 37th minute, but just two minutes later, Atletico has tied the game and the result didn’t change again in this game. This match ended in a 1-1 draw. Poveda and Felix are injured, while Vrsaljko, Felipe, and Vitolo are still questionable. Morata is the leading goal scorer for Atletico with 8 goals, while Correa added 5 goals and 5 assists. I’ve said this many times before, a team can’t win the title in any competition just by playing defense, and Atletico is doing just that because Simeone is that type of coach. This type of tactic might work against the weaker teams that are not scoring a ton of goals, but against the teams like Barcelona, Real Madrid, and Sevilla, and the other teams in the Champions League, Atletico Madrid would lose 9 out of 10 games.
Osasuna hasn’t won any of their last 3 games against Atletico, and the last time they did was back in 2009. There is still enough time left for Atletico to get to the Champions League spot, but that doesn’t mean they don’t win this game. I will side with the better team in this matchup.