RB Leipzig vs. Fortuna Dusseldorf 6/17-20 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
RB Leipzig 17-11-3, Fortuna Dusseldorf 6-10-15
6/17/20 2:30 pm
Over 2.5 (-275), Under 2.5 (+220)
RB Leipzig is welcoming Fortuna Dusseldorf to Red Bull Arena in part of round 32 of German Bundesliga.
Leipzig hasn’t lost any of their last 6 games, but they di have three draws. In every one of their last 6 games, Leipzig has scored at least one goal, while they conceded in 4 of their last 6 games. Leipzig is in third place in the standings with 62 points, 4 points away from the second place, and 5 points ahead of 4th place. It’s clear now that Leipzig will end up in one of the Champions League spots, the question is which one. With 77 scored goals this season, Leipzig is the third-best offensive teams in Bundesliga, while they are one of the best defensive teams with 32 conceded goals. In their last Bundesliga match against Hoffenheim on the road, Leipzig had a solid game with 50% of ball possession, 7 shots on goal, 1 corner kick, and 74% of the correct passes. Dani Olmo has scored 2 goals in 2 minutes early in the first half, and the result hasn’t changed again. Leipzig has won this match 0-2. Timo Werner has scored 25 goals for Leipzig, while Schick added 10 goals. Nkunku has 14 assists this season. Ampadu and Poulsen are still injured and will not be playing this match. Leipzig was in the run for the title for most of the season, but their inconsistencies after the restart of the season have cost them too many points.
Fortuna is fighting for their Bundesliga lives in the last three games of the season, and since this is going to be the hardest match Fortuna will play, I like their chances. Fortuna is in 16th place with 28 points, which is the relegation playoff spot, but Fortuna is only 3 points away from the safety. Fortuna has one of the worst defenses in Bundesliga and they conceded 61 goals in 31 games, while they scored only 33 goals. In their last Bundesliga game against Borussia Dortmund this past weekend, Fortuna has had a solid match 37% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 81% of the correct passes. Fortuna was outstanding defensively in this match, and just when I thought Fortuna will hold on a tie, they conceded a goal in 95th minute and lost this match 0-1. Hennings has scored 14 goals for Fortuna this season, while Karaman and Thommy each added 6 goals. Steffen is injured, while Giesselmann is suspended because of the yellow cards. There are three teams in Bundesliga that are in danger of being relegated, and Fortuna is one of them. At the moment, Werder is playing the best soccer of those three teams, but anything is possible in these last three games of the season.
Fortuna has never beaten Leipzig in the past, and the difference in the quality is obvious. Leipzig’s home record this season is 7-7-1 and they haven’t lost any of their last 13 games. I’m tempted to put some money on a draw as Leipzig’s every other game of the last six games ended in a draw. Leipzig hasn’t scored a lot of goals in their last two games, but since Fortuna has one of the worst defenses in Bundesliga, I hope Leipzig will use a few more of their chances.