Bayern 04 Leverkusen vs. FSV Mainz 05 6/27/20 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Bayern 04 Leverkusen 18-6-9, FSV Mainz 11-4-18
6/27/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-334), Under 2.5 (+250)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen is hosting FSV Mainz 05 at BayArena in round 34 of German Bundesliga.
Leverkusen has really pooped their pants last week against Hertha when they lost. Leverkusen was the better team in that match with 69% of ball possession, 2 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, and 86% of the correct passes. Everything Leverkusen did right in the games before this one, they did wrong here. Their defense, nor their offense were working, and Leverkusen has lost this game 2-0. Leverkusen is now in 5th place with 60 points, 2 points less than M’gladbach, and there is still a chance that Leverkusen will end up in 4th place, but only if they win, and M’gladbach loses their game. With 60 scored goals this season, Leverkusen was solid, but their defense had to be better if they wanted to have an easier season. Leverkusen has conceded 44 goals. Havertz has been Leverkusen’s best player this season and is their top goalscorer with 12 goals, and I still hope he will stay in Leverkusen for another season or two, but it doesn’t look good as Bayern is offering a hefty amount. Volland added 9 goals and 7 assists. There are no injuries in Leverkusen, but Dragovic is suspended because of the yellow cards. Leverkusen is the favorite in this match, but M’gladbach won’t just roll over in their game.
Mainz is having a good season, and whether they go up or down in the standings, it doesn’t matter because non of those spots leads to the Europa League or the relegation zone. Mainz is in 13th place with 37 points, 44 scored goals, and massive 64 conceded goals. Mainz has secured their Bundesliga status in their last game against Werder at home where they had only 39% of ball possession, 12 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, and 79% of the correct passes. Despite having much less possession, Mainz has won this game 3-1. Quaison has scored 13 goals for Mainz this season, while Oztunali, Kunde, and Boetius added 4 goals each. Zentner and Awoniyi are injured, while Boetius is suspended because of the yellow cards. Overall, a solid season for Mainz where they secured their Bundesliga status and can play the last game of the season without much pressure. Sure, Mainz’s defense could have been better, and maybe than they would be able to count on a higher spot, but with this terrible defense, this is the maximum for Mainz this season, and I believe they are ok with that.
Mainz hasn’t won any of their last 4 games against Leverkusen, but they also haven’t lost any of their last 4 away games. Mainz was known to surprise, but Leverkusen has to win in this match if they even want to have a chance of qualifying for the Champions League. Leverkusen is a huge favorite in this game, and understandably so. Taking everything into consideration, I think Leverkusen will get a win here.