Villarreal vs. Valencia 6/28/20 LaLiga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Villarreal 14-6-11, Valencia 12-10-9
6/28/20 11 am
Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-110)
Villarreal is welcoming Valencia to Estadio de la Ceramica in part of round 32 of Spanish LaLiga.
Villarreal has been in an outstanding form since the restart and they haven’t lost any of their last 4 games. During this stretch, Villarreal has 3 wins, 1 draw, 5 scored goals, and only 2 conceded goals. With these fantastic results, Villarreal has climbed the standings to 6th place with 48 points, 49 scored goals, and 40 conceded goals. Sure, their defense could be a bit better, but overall, Villarreal is solid on both ends this season. In their most recent LaLiga match against Sevilla at home, Villarreal has had 41% of ball possession, 5 shots on goal, 3 corner kicks, and 79% of the correct passes. Villarreal was ahead twice in this game, 1-0, and 2-1, but Sevilla was able to score an equalizer and this match ended in a 2-2 draw. The fantastic game between two of the teams that absolutely deserve to be in the top 5 in LaLiga. Gerard Moreno has scored 12 goals for Villarreal this season, while Santi Cazorla added 8 goals and 7 assists. Mori is the only injured player and he will not be in the lineup for this match. I hope that Villarreal can keep this form because it brought them to the Europa League spot, and the Champions League spot is only 5 points away.
Valencia is hasn’t been playing well, dating back to before the break, and their bad form has continued after the restart as well. Valencia has won only 1 of their last 4 games, and because of that, Valencia has dropped in the standings and is now outside the Europa League spot. Valencia is now in 8th place with 46 points, just 2 points behind Villarreal. Maxi Gomez and Dani Parejo have both scored 8 goals for Valencia this season, while Gameiro added 5 goals. Rodrigo Moreno is Valencia’s top assistant with 7 goals. Piccini, Garay, and Coquelin are all injured and will not be playing in this game. In their last LaLiga match against Eibar on the road, Valencia has had more possession, 66%, 8 corner kicks, 77% of the correct passes, but 0 shots on goal. Valencia has scored an own goal in 16th minute and all of a sudden Eibar was ahead. Valencia was constantly pressuring, but nothing came out of that pressure and Valencia ended up losing this match 1-0. I think the main issue for Valencia is that two of their starting defenders are injured, and since then, Valencia was not able to recover from that. Can they still get to the Europa League spot, absolutely, but Valencia must start producing in the attacking end and stop putting so much pressure on their defense.
Villarreal hasn’t won any of their last 4 games against Valencia, but Valencia hasn’t won any of their last 6 away games. Villarreal is in a much better form and they are playing great soccer, which is enough for me to back them against Valencia.