Pacos de Ferreira vs. FC Porto 6/29/20 Primeira Liga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pacos de Ferreira 9-4-15, FC Porto 21-4-3
6/29/20 4:15 pm
Over 2.5 (+100), Under 2.5 (-125)
Pacos de Ferreira is hosting FC Porto at Estadio Capital do Movel in round 29 of Portuguese Primeira Liga.
Pacos is playing well since the restart and they have won 3 of their last 4 games while scoring at least 2 goals in 3 of said 4 games, which is a good thing for them because their defense hasn’t been on the same level, and Pacos has conceded 5 goals in their last 4 games. With 31 points, Pacos is in 12th place in the standings and they gave themselves some breathing room by winning those 3 games. Offensively, Pacos has not been playing well for most of the season and they scored only 26 goals so far, while they conceded 39 goals so far this season. In their last game against Tondela on the road, Pacos has had only 37% of ball possession, but 5 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, and 69% of the correct passes. With 3 goals from their 5 shots on goal, Pacos has won this game 1-3. Tanques has scored 9 goals for Pacos so far. There are no injuries for Pacos, but there are 8 players in danger of suspension if they conceded one more yellow card. With just a few more points in their last 6 games of the season, Pacos will secure their spot in the Primeira Liga, which is their main goal for the season.
Porto is once again at the top of the Primeira Liga thanks to Benfica dropping points left and right after the restart. Porto has lost their first game after the restart, but their next three were good and Porto has 2 wins and one draw in their last three games. With 67 points, Porto is in the first place, while they have scored 56 goals this season, and conceded only 18 goals, the least in the Primeira Liga. Alex Telles has scored 9 goals for Porto and is their leading goal scorer, while Marega added 8 goals. Jesus Corona has added 9 assists. Markano and Ze Luis are injured, while Oliveira is suspended because of the yellow cards. In their most recent match in the Primeira Liga against Boavista at home, Porto was a much better team with 70% of ball possession, 7 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 87% of the correct passes. With 4 goals in the second half, Porto has won this game 4-0. Once again, the race for the title is tight in the Primeira Liga, and I suspect it will be until the last game of the season. Porto can’t afford to slip up along the way because Benfica is breathing down their necks and just waiting for them to make a wrong turn somewhere.
The trends are heavily on Porto’s side in this matchup. In their last 17 home games against Porto, Pacos has won only 3, Porto has won 10, while 4 games ended in a draw. I won’t overthink this one, I will side with Porto because they need to keep winning to stay ahead of Benfica.