Brescia 4-6-19, Hellas Verona 11-9-9
7/5/20 1:30 pm
Over 2.5 (-110), Under 2.5 (-110) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Brescia is hosting Hellas Verona at Stadio Mario Rigamonti in round 30 in Italian Serie A.
Brescia hasn’t won a game since December, and since the restart, Brescia has 2 draws and a loss. During this 3-game stretch, Brescia has conceded 9 goals, while scoring only 3 goals. Brescia is in the last place in the standings with only 18 points, 25 scored goals, and 58 conceded goals, an average of 2 conceded goals per game. Brescia is not the worst defensive team in Serie A, but they are close. In their last Serie A game against Inter on the road, Brescia has had only 39% of ball possession, 4 corner kick, 1 shot on goal, and 78% of the correct passes. As expected, Brescia was defending for the entire match, and in the end, Brescia has lost this game 6-0. The schedule is never easy for Brescia, and I just don’t see them getting outside the relegation zone, even though they still technically have a shot at that. Donnarumma has scored 5 goals for Brescia and is their top goal scorer, while Balotelli added 5 goals. Cistana, Bisoli, and Chancellor are all injured and will not be in the lineup. I’m afraid the season is over for Brescia and it’s better for them to be relegated and to win games in Serie B than suffer in the Italian top division.
Verona is having an amazing season and they are in 8th place in the standings with 42 points, just three points from the Europa League. Verona hasn’t scored a lot of goals this season, just 37 in 29 games, but their defense on the other hand has been among the best in Serie A with only 34 conceded goals. In their last 4 games since the restart, Verona has 2 wins, 1 draw, and only 1 loss. During this stretch, Verona has actually been better in the attacking end than on the defensive end. Verona has scored 8 goals, while also conceding 8 goals. Di carmine has scored 6 goals for Verona this season, while Pessina added 5 goals. Lazovic has added 7 assists. Eysseric and Salcedo are injured, while Pessina is suspended because of the yellow cards. In their latest Serie A game against Parma at home, Verona was solid with 51% of ball possession, 3 corner kicks, 86% of the correct passes, and 4 shots on goal. With the incredibly effective offense, Verona has scored 3 goals and has won this game 3-2. I love what Verona is doing this season and the key to their success is their defense, which isn’t something we see often that the small teams whose best attribute is their defense, is doing this well throughout the whole season.
Brescia’s home record this season is 1-4-9 and they haven’t won any of their last 15 games. Verona isn’t necessarily a much better team here, but they are playing better soccer and I will side with the away team here, which is Verona.