FC Porto 22-4-3, Belenenses 8-7-14
7/5/20 4:30 pm
Over 2.5 (-154), Under 2.5 (+120) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
FC Porto is welcoming Belenenses to Estadio do Dragao in round 30 in Portuguese Primeira Liga.
Porto is playing well as of late and they haven’t lost any of their last 4 games in the Primeira Liga, and thanks to that, Porto is at the top of the standings with 70 points, 6 points more than their fiercest rival Benfica. Porto has been good in the attacking end with 57 scored goals in 29 games, which is an average of almost 2 scored goals per game. Porto’s defense is the best in league with only 18 conceded goals so far. In their latest Primeira Liga match against Pacos de Ferreira, Porto has had 47% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, and low 75% of the correct passes. Despite being the weaker team in this match, Porto has won this game 0-1. Telles is Porto’s top goalscorer with 9 goals, while Marega added 8 goals. Jesus Corona added 9 assists for Porto this season. Marcano and Ze Luis are both injured, while Nakajima is on special leave and he will not be playing in this game. Porto is in excellent situation thanks to Benfica’s lousy form, and with only 5 games left to be played this season, their 6-point advantage from Benfica should be enough for Porto to win the Primeira Liga title.
Belenenses hasn’t won any of their last 4 games since the restart, and they have conceded 7 goals during that stretch, while scoring 4 goals, one in each of their last 4 games. Belenenses has scored only 25 goals this season and is one of the weakest offensive teams in the league, while their defense has been even worse with 45 conceded goals. With only 31 points, Belenenses is in 14th place in the standings, just 4 points away from the relegation zone, and unless they win some points soon, Belenenses will be in a tough situation. Lica has been Belenenses’ best player this season with 7 goals and 3 assists. Kau, Ribeiro, and Varela are all injured and will not be playing again this season. In their latest Primeira Liga game against Tondela at home, Belenenses was the better team with 61% of ball possession, 2 corner kicks, 3 shots on target, and 83% of the correct passes. The half-time result was 1-1, and while Belenenses was dominating in the second half, they weren’t able to score a goal, not even after Tondela got the red card. This match ended in a 1-1 draw. There are a lot of teams that are in bad form in the Primeira Liga, but not many have worse defense and offense than Belenenses which makes things even harder on them. The last 5 games will be crucial for Belenenses, but I don’t think they can turn things around. Their only chance is that the other teams in the relegation zone don’t win their games.
Porto’s home record this season is 12-1-1, and the trends in this matchup are heavily on their side. There is no other option but to side with Porto here.