Lazio vs. Cagliari 7/23/20 Serie A Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Lazio 21-6-7, Cagliari 10-12-12
7/23/20 3:45 pm
Over 2.5 (-188), Under 2.5 (+150) Click Here for the Latest Odds
Lazio is hosting Cagliari at Stadio Olimpico in round 35 in Italian Serie A.
Lazio has lost every shot at getting the title this season, and they were so close before the season was paused. Lazio hasn’t won any of their last 5 games in Serie A after the restart, and it cost them dearly. With 69 points, Lazio is in 4th place in the standings, massive 11 points behind Juventus, 3 points behind Inter in third place, and 5 points behind Atalanta in second place. Offensively, Lazio has been solid with 69 scored goals, but the problem is that when Immobile is not playing or when he is not in the mood, Lazio is struggling massively in the attacking end, even against the weakest teams in Serie A. On the defensive end, Lazio has been great with only 34 conceded goals so far. In their last Serie A game against Juventus on the road, Lazio has had 46% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, and solid 87% of the correct passes. Once again, Lazio was struggling with creating chances and their game was slow, and in the end, Lazio has lost this match 2-1. Ciro Immobile is Lazio’s top goalscorer with 30 goals, while Caicedo added 9 goals. Luis Alberto has 13 assists. Lulic, Marusic, Correa, and Leiva are all injured, while Radu, Alberto, and Jony are all still questionable. I’m sure that Lazio will end the season in one of the top 4 spots, and they will be in the Champions League next season, but I’m not sure if Lazio can end this slump before the season ends.
Cagliari is the team that will play defensive soccer against anyone they play, something like a worse copy of Atletico Madrid, and I wouldn’t say they are in a bad form as they lost only 2 of their last 8 games, but Cagliari has 4 draws in their last 6 games, alongside 2 losses. Cagliari is in 11th place with 42 points, 49 scored goals, and 50 conceded goals, which is far away from the relegation zone, and it would have been a lot closer to the Europa League if Cagliari was just a bit more efficient in the attacking end. Joao Pedro is having an outstanding season and he has scored 18 goals for Cagliari, while Simeone added 10 goals. Nainggolan has 6 goals and 6 assists so far. Oliva, Pavoletti, Pellegrini, and Nainggolan are all injured, while Carboni is suspended because of the red card. In their latest Serie A game against Sassuolo, Cagliari was being dominated and they had extremely low 22% of ball possession, just 1 shot on goal, 0 corner kicks, and 69% of the correct passes. Just by looking at the stats, we could say that Cagliari has lost this match by a big differential, but it ended in a 1-1 draw despite Cagliari having a player less on the field for the entire second half. Good thing that Cagliari has a fantastic first half of the season, otherwise they would have been scrapping for points at the bottom of the standings now.
Lazio has 8 straight wins against Cagliari at home, but their form has been bad, and the form matters. I’m aware that this slump has to end eventually, and with all the injuries Cagliari has, that makes them the perfect opponent for Lazio to beat. I was thinking to take a draw here for a nice plus money, but I decided to pick Lazio because Immobile scored a goal in their latest game, and that could be a game-changer.