Roma vs. Fiorentina 7/26/20 Serie A Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Roma 18-7-10, Fiorentina 10-13-12
7/26/20 1:30 pm
Over 2.5 (-188), Under 2.5 (+150) Click Here for the Latest Odds
Roma is welcoming Fiorentina to Stadio Olimpico in a derby match of round 36 in Italian Serie A.
Roma is on a great 5-game streak without a loss during which they have 4 wins and 1 draw. In their last 5 games, Roma has scored 15 goals, which is an average of 3 scored goals per game, while conceding only 5 goals. As of right now, Roma is in 5th place in the standings with 61 points, which is the Europa League spot, but Milan is only 1 point behind them. Roma has been playing well in the attacking end this season with 69 scored goals, which makes them one of the best offensive teams in Serie A. Defensively, Roma has been struggling for a while, but their defense is stable, and Roma has conceded 47 goals so far this season. Dzeko has scored 15 goals for Roma this season, while Mkhitaryan added 9 goals. Pellegrini added 9 assists. Santon is the only injured player for Roma, and he will not be playing in this game. Fazio, Mirante, Ibanez, and Under are all still questionable. In their most recent Serie A game against Spal on the road, Roma was the better team with 55% of ball possession, massive 9 shots on goal, 1 corner kick, and high 91% of the correct passes. Roma has won this match 1-6. It’s good that Roma is keeping their good form because they are playing Sevilla in the Europa League in a couple of weeks, and they will need to be at the highest level for that competition.
Fiorentina has been playing well as of late, and they are finally showing a small piece of their talent and what they are capable of. Fiorentina is undefeated in their last 6 games, and they have 3 wins and 3 draws during this stretch. Fiorentina’s offense is improving, but their defense has been outstanding with only 3 conceded goals in their last 6 games. In their latest Serie A game against Inter on the road, Fiorentina has had only 39% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, and 81% of the correct passes. Fiorentina didn’t create a lot of chances in this match, but their defense was up to the task. This match ended in a 0-0 draw. Chiesa is Fiorentina’s best player this season with 7 goals and 5 assists, while Vlahovic and Pulgar both added 6 goals. Benassi and Dragowski are both injured, while Castrovilli is suspended because of the yellow cards. With the points from their last 6 games, Fiorentina has moved away from the relegation zone, and it seems that not being under pressure really works for them, but when the next season starts, Fiorentina will feel the same pressure all over again. I hope that Fiorentina will make some changes in the offseason and that they will be able to keep their best players in the club, otherwise, we can expect the same painful season for Fiorentina all over again.
Both Roma and Fiorentina are playing well, but Roma has to win this match to stay ahead of Milan, and they have more attacking options than Fiorentina. I will side with Roma in this game.