Napoli 17-8-12, Lazio 24-6-7
8/1/20 2:45 pm
Over 2.5 (-225), Under 2.5 (+175) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Napoli is hosting Lazio at Stadio San Paolo in round 38 in Italian Serie A.
Napoli has been hot and cold lately, and it’s coming at a bad time because Napoli is playing in the Champions League next week against Barcelona. In their last 3 Serie A games, Napoli has 2 losses and 1 win, but since they have already qualified for the Europa League by winning the Coppa Italia, Napoli has been playing without pressure. With 59 points, Napoli is in 7th place in the standings, and they can’t go up or down anymore this season. In their latest Serie A game against Inter on the road, Napoli has had 59% of ball possession, 9 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, high 91% of the correct passes, but only 2 shots on goal. Napoli has lost this match 2-0. Milik has scored 11 goals for Napoli this season, while Mertens added 9 goals. Manolas is the only injured player for Napoli at the moment. Napoli has been struggling with creating the opportunities to take shots lately even though they are the dominant team and they are controlling the possession, but I guess they are missing that one player, that one midfielder that thinks differently than the rest of the team. I think everyone in Napoli is happy with this season, especially after they won the Coppa Italia, but the Champions League match against Barcelona will be a tough one for Napoli, but anything is possible in soccer.
Lazio has woken up, and if they had done so just a couple of games sooner, they would have been the new Serie A champions, but like this, Lazio will need to be happy with one of the top 4 spots that will take them to the Champions League. In their last 3 games, Lazio has scored 9 goals, while conceding only 2 goals. At the moment, Lazio is in 4th place in the standings with 78 points, same as Atalanta in third place, and 1 point less than Inter in Second place. With 78 scored goals and 39 conceded goals, Lazio has been one of the best teams in Serie A overall this season, but their bad form after the restart has cost Lazio the title. Immobile has scored massive 35 goals for Lazio so far this season, and it’s likely that he will be the best goalscorer in Italy and Europe. Correa and Caicedo have added another 9 goals each. Luis Alberto has 14 assists. Lulic and Leiva are both still injured. In their last Serie A game against Brescia at home, Lazio was the dominant team with 60% of ball possession, massive 12 shots on goal, 5 corner kicks, 7 big chances created, and solid 87% of the correct passes. Lazio has won this match 2-0, but it could have been at least 5-0 if they had a little bit more focus in the attacking end. The good news is that Lazio is going to the Champions League, the bad news is that they could have been the champions of Serie A this season.
When playing at home, Napoli has not lost to Lazio in their last 5 games, and the trends are evenly split between Napoli and Lazio. I will side with Lazio in this one because I think Napoli might rest some players to have them ready for the Champions League.