RB Leipzig vs. FSV Mainz 05 9/20/20 Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
9/20/20 9:30 am
Over 2.5 (-275), Under 2.5 (+220) Click Here for the Latest Odds
RB Leipzig is welcoming FSV Mainz 05 to Red Bull Arena in round 1 in the German Bundesliga.
Leipzig has played well last season in Bundesliga where they ended up in 3rd with 66 points, and they will be playing in the Champions League this season as well. In the last season’s Champions League, Leipzig reached the semifinals after beating Atletico Madrid, but they weren’t able to beat PSG in the semifinals. In their DFB Pokal match against Nurnberg on the road, Leipzig has been the better team with 70% of ball possession, 10 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and 89% of the correct passes. Leipzig has won this match 0-3. Hartman, Laimer, and Konate are all injured for Leipzig, and they will miss the beginning of the new season. Leipzig has lost their star striker Timo Werner who left for Chelsea for 58.3 million Euros. Upamecano is rumored to go to Manchester United, while Leipzig is working on signing Bruno Petkovic from Dinamo Zagreb. There haven’t been any notable signings in Leipzig as of yet. Leipzig is expected to be close to the top once again, and I agree with that, but if Leipzig wants to be more competitive in Bundesliga, they need to gain more depth.
Mainz has ended the last season in 13th place with 37 points, 44 scored goals, and 65 conceded goals, but Mainz has lost all three of their friendly games in the preseason. During this bad stretch, Mainz has conceded 5 goals while scoring only 2 goals. In their DFB Pokal match against Havelse on the road, Mainz was the dominant team massive 73% of ball possession, 12 shots on goal, 16 corner kicks, 5 big chances created, and a solid 84% of the correct passes. Mainz has won this match 1-5. Dong-won Ji is the only injured player for Mainz, but he should be ready to play soon. There hasn’t been a lot of activities in Mainz during the transfer window, except a few players that arrived and left in free transfers. There are a few rumors that another couple of players will leave Mainz, and it that happens to be true, Mainz will be even weaker than last season. There is still time for Mainz to bring in some reinforcements, and they better, otherwise Mainz will have a lot of troubles with securing their Bundesliga spot for next season. Quality-wise, Mainz is close to the bottom of the Bundesliga, and I don’t expect them much higher than the relegation zone this season.
When playing at home, Leipzig has not lost to Mainz in their last 4 games. The trends are heavily on Leipzig’s side, and deservedly so. Leipzig is the better team here, with more depth, and in a better form. I expect Leipzig to get a win at home at the start of the new Bundesliga season.