Sweden 0-0-4, Croatia 1-0-3
11/14/20 2:45 pm
Over 2.5 (+120), Under 2.5 (-150) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Sweden is hosting Croatia at Friends Arena in round 5 in the UEFA Nations League.
Sweden has lost all 4 of their games in the Nations League, and they have scored only 1 goal while conceding 8 goals in 4 games. Sweden has won only 1 of their last 6 games, and their form is terrible. Earlier this week Sweden was playing against Denmark on the road, and they ended up losing that game 2-0 to their neighbors. In their latest Nations League game, Sweden was playing against Portugal on the road, and they have had 51% of ball possession, 3 shots on goal, 9 corner kicks, 0 big chances created, and 84% of the correct passes. Sweden lacked offense in this match, while their defense couldn’t handle Portugal’s strikers. Sweden has lost this match 3-0. Marcus Berg is the only goalscorer for Sweden with 1 goal so far. Emil Forsberg has added 1 assist. There are a few players in Sweden that are in quarantine because of Coronavirus, but it’s still unknown if they will be playing. Sweden has a few good players, and they can play well, but their form is terrible. The good news for Sweden is that there is plenty of time for them to get back on track before the Euro Cup next year.
Croatia is playing hot and cold, and they have won only 1 game in the Nations League so far, and that was against Sweden at home. In their last Nations League match, Croatia was playing against France at home, and I think they were the better team in that game with 52% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, 1 big chance created, and a high 92% of the correct passes. Croatia was the dominant team, they were precise and dangerous, but after tying the score to 1-1, Croatia wasn’t able to use their chances to get ahead, and instead, Croatia conceded another goal. The final score of this game was 1-2 in favor of France. Croatia is in 3rd place in their group with 3 points, 6 scored goals, and 11 conceded goals. Vlasic is the leading goalscorer for Croatia with 2 goals, while Brekalo added 1 goal and 1 assist. Croatia will be without Kramaric for this game, as well as Vida who is positive for Coronavirus. Earlier this week Croatia was playing against Turkey on the road in a friendly game, and that game ended in a 3-3 draw. When healthy, Croatia is a strong team that can play great soccer, and they need a win here if they want to stay in the strongest group for the Nations League. I expect coach Dalic to start this game with his best players and go for the win.
Sweden has won only 1 game against Croatia in the past. Sweden is not in a good form, but neither is Croatia. I will side with Croatia on the road because they are the better team here, they have more depth, and they are playing better soccer.