Italy 1-3-0, Poland 2-1-1
11/15/20 2:45 pm
Over 2.5 (+120), Under 2.5 (-150) Click to Get Latest Betting Odds
Italy is hosting Poland at Mapei Stadium in round 5 in the UEFA Nations League.
Italy is playing well, and they haven’t lost a game since September of 2018. Italy is in second place in their Nations League group with 6 points, only 3 scored goals, and only 2 conceded goals in 4 games. Sensi, Pellegrini, and Barella have each scored 1 goal for Italy so far in the Nations League. Italy has all of their best players at disposal during this international break, and they have beaten Estonia 4-0 in a friendly game earlier this week. Italy hasn’t won any of their last 2 games in the Nations League, including their last game to Netherlands. With 55% of ball possession, 6 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 2 big chances created, and a solid 85% of the correct passes, Italy was the better team in this game, and they had the lead early in the game. Unfortunately for Italy, Netherlands was able to tie the score, and this game ended in a 1-1 draw. This is the game for the first place in this group, and if Italy wins, they will most likely advance to the next stage from the top spot. I think Italy is a great team, and they are playing well, and I see them as a dark horse of the Euro Cup next year.
Poland has won 4 of their last 5 games, while one game ended in a draw. With 6 points, Poland is at the top of this group, and they are playing well. Earlier this week Poland has beaten Ukraine 2-0 at home, and without Lewandowski who is expected to be in the lineup for this match. In their last Nations League game, Poland was hosting Bosnia, and they have had 64% of ball possession, 8 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and a solid 86% of the correct passes. Poland has scored 2 goals in the first half, and another goal in the second half. The final score of this match was 3-0 in favor of Poland. Lewandowski has been in magnificent form for Bayern, and he is doing the same for Poland. Lewandowski has scored 2 goals and added 1 assist so far in the Nations League. Poland has also qualified for the Euro Cup, and they have the potential to be a threat in that competition because they got a solid group, and they are playing good soccer on both ends. Poland has been the best team in this group, and they absolutely deserve to be in the first place, but now is the time to defend that top spot.
Five of ten games between these two teams ended in a draw, while the last 4 games ended with less than 3 goals. Italy hasn’t lost any of their last 20 games, and they are the favorites here, but I wouldn’t write Poland of just yet. I will give it a shot at goals here because both teams could use a win, especially Italy.