Inter vs. Napoli 7/28/20 Serie A Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Inter is hosting Napoli in a derby match of round 37 at Giuseppe Meazza in Italian Serie A.

Inter is undefeated in their last 6 games in Serie A, but unfortunately, it was too late for them to get back into the title race. Inter is now in 2nd place with 76 points, 7 points behind Juventus who have secured the title, 9th in a row. With 77 scored goals so far this season, Inter is the second-best offensive team in Serie A, while they have the best defense with only 36 conceded goals. In their last Serie A match against Genoa on the road, Inter was the better team with 56% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 6 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and 85% of the correct passes. Inter was solid and compact on the defensive end while scoring 3 goals in the attacking end, and Inter has won this match 0-3. Lukaku has been playing outstanding soccer this season and he has scored 23 goals, while Martinez added another 13 goals. Sanchez and Candreva both have 7 assists. Sensi, Vecino, and de Vrij are all injured and will not be playing in this game. Inter is not any worse team than Juventus, I would even argue that they are a more talented team with the better coach, but they have had way too many draws this season, and that is what cost Inter the title this season. Inter has one more chance to win a trophy this season, and that is in the Europa League which starts next week.

Napoli has been playing well as of late, but they are losing the Europa League battle in Serie A, but the good news for Napoli is that as the winners of Coppa Italia, they have qualified for the Europa League already. With 59 points, Napoli is in 7th place in the standings, 1 point behind Milan in 6th place. Overall, this was a decent season for Napoli in which they expected to be in the race for the title, but some problems along the way happened, and Napoli has dropped in the standings rapidly. Napoli has scored 58 goals so far this season, which isn’t bad, but not nearly enough for one of the top 4 spots in Serie A. Milik is Napoli’s top goalscorer with only 11 goals, while Mertens added 9 goals. Callejon and Insigne still have 7 assists each. Llorente is still the only injured player for Napoli, and he will not be in the lineup. In their latest Serie A match against Sassuolo at home, Napoli has had 50% of ball possession, 8 shots on goal, 7 corner kicks, 3 big chances created, and solid 88% of the correct passes. After they scored a leading goal in the 8th minute, Napoli was under big pressure from Sassuolo, but their defense stepped up, and in the end, Napoli scored another goal in the 93rd minute to confirm their 2-0 win in this match. With Gattuso as the head coach, Napoli is focused a little bit more on the midfield control and ball possession, but we will see if Napoli will be able to stop Barcelona in the Champions League next week.

Neither Inter nor Napoli really need something from this game, except to maintain the good form, and for that reason, I will give it a shot at a draw in this match for a nice plus money.