Spal vs. Udinese 7/9/20 Serie A Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Spal is welcoming Udinese to Stadio Paolo Mazza in round 31 in Italian Serie A.

Spal is in the last place in the standings with only 19 points, and their Serie A days are over after the season ends. In their last 4 games since the restart, Spal has 3 losses and 1 draw, alongside 9 conceded goals and only 3 scored goals. With only 23 goals scored overall this season, Spal is the weakest offensive team in Serie A, while with 53 conceded goals, Spal is not the worst team, but they are pretty close. In their latest Serie A game against Sampdoria on the road, Spal was really god with 61% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 13 corner kicks, and 87% of the correct passes. As many times before in this season, Spal’s defense just wasn’t good enough and they lost this game 3-0. Patagna is Spal’s top goalscorer with 12 goals. Berisha, Di Francesco, Fares, Valoti, and Zukanovic are all injured, while Cionek is suspended because of the yellow cards. There is no hope for Spal to get out of the relegation zone as they are big 9 points away, and they are not showing any signs that they can even get a win for the rest of the season. See you in Serie B Spal.

After 2 losses in the first two games after the restart, Udinese has won 1 game and tied the second one, during which they scored 4 goals and conceded 2 goals. For now, Udinese is safely outside the relegation zone, in 15th place with 32 points. Udinese has scored more goals than Spal, 27, and more importantly, their defense has been far better with 43 conceded goals. Lasagna is still Udinese’s top goalscorer with 8 goals, while De Paul and Okaka added 5 goals each. Fofana has 6 assists this season. Prodl and Mandragora are all injured, while Sema is suspended because of the yellow cards. In their last Serie A game against Genoa at home, Udinese has had 46% of ball possession, 4 shots on goal, 2 corner kicks, and 81% of the correct passes. This was a good game for Udinese where they were 2-0 ahead until 81st minute, after that Udinese lost focus and it cost them dearly. In the 81st minute, Genoa scored one goal, and in the last minute, 97th they scored another goal, and this game ended in a 2-2 draw. Udinese has been solid after the restart and I believe they will stay in Serie A next season as well, but it will be a hard rest of the season for Udinese where they need at least one more win to secure their Serie A spot.

Spal hasn’t won any of their last 4 games, but they never lost to Udinese at home. This one smells on a draw to me because Udinese can score goals, but as we saw in their latest games, they can also concede 2 goals in 10 minutes. Spal is not a good team, but they can go toe to toe with Udinese.